English
Related papers

Related papers: Measure-valued processes for energy markets

200 papers

We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

Adapting pretrained diffusion models to downstream objectives such as inverse problems often requires expensive test-time guidance or optimization. We propose a principled framework for generating high-quality reward-aligned samples at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Jan Niklas Groeneveld , Felix Draxler , Stephan Mandt

The Marketron model, introduced by [Halperin, Itkin, 2025], describes price formation in inelastic markets as the nonlinear diffusion of a quasiparticle (the marketron) in a multidimensional space comprising the log-price $x$, a memory…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Igor Halperin , Andrey Itkin

When considering the problem of forecasting a continuous-time stochastic process over an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past, the notion of Autoregressive Hilbert space processes (ARH) arises. This model can be seen as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-15 Jairo Cugliari

Based on forward curves modelled as Hilbert-space valued processes, we analyse the pricing of various options relevant in energy markets. In particular, we connect empirical evidence about energy forward prices known from the literature to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Fred Espen Benth , Paul Krühner

We consider general Markov processes with absorption and provide criteria ensuring the exponential convergence in total variation of the distribution of the process conditioned not to be absorbed. The first one is based on two-sided…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Koléhè Coulibaly-Pasquier , Denis Villemonais

We construct measures for the non-Markovianity of quantum evolution with a physically meaningful interpretation. We first provide a general setting in the framework of channel capacities and propose two families of meaningful quantitative…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-03-02 Carlos Pineda , Thomas Gorin , David Davalos , Diego A. Wisniacki , Ignacio Garcia-Mata

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

In this paper, the development of a mathematical method is presented to explore spatially non-uniform phases with no long-range order in mathematical models of first order phase transitions. We use essential results regarding the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-08 Gyula I. Toth

In this work, we extend a phase-field approach for pressurized fractures to non-isothermal settings. Specifically, the pressure and the temperature are given quantities and the emphasis is on the correct modeling of the interface laws…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Nima Noii , Thomas Wick

A recent paper [J. A. Evans, D. Kamensky, Y. Bazilevs, "Variational multiscale modeling with discretely divergence-free subscales", Computers & Mathematics with Applications, 80 (2020) 2517-2537] introduced a novel stabilized finite element…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Sajje Lee Calfy , John A. Evans , David Kamensky

We focus on extending existing short-rate models, enabling control of the generated implied volatility while preserving analyticity. We achieve this goal by applying the Randomized Affine Diffusion (RAnD) method to the class of short-rate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-27 Lech A. Grzelak

We model the stock price dynamics through a semi-Markov process obtained using a Poisson random measure. We establish the existence and uniqueness of the classical solution of a non-homogeneous terminal value problem and we show that the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Garima Agrawal , Anindya Goswami

We describe a new MCMC method optimized for the sampling of probability measures on Hilbert space which have a density with respect to a Gaussian; such measures arise in the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, and in conditioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-04 Michela Ottobre , Natesh S. Pillai , Frank J. Pinski , Andrew M. Stuart

We propose a general framework for the simultaneous modeling of equity, government bonds, corporate bonds and derivatives. Uncertainty is generated by a general affine Markov process. The setting allows for stochastic volatility, jumps, the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-07 Patrick Cheridito , Alexander Wugalter

We introduce a flexible and tractable infinite-dimensional stochastic volatility model. More specifically, we consider a Hilbert space valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type process, whose instantaneous covariance is given by a pure-jump stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Sonja Cox , Sven Karbach , Asma Khedher

We present a novel computational paradigm for process design in manufacturing processes that incorporates simulation responses to optimize manufacturing process parameters in high-dimensional temporal and spatial design spaces. We developed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Mojtaba Mozaffar , Jian Cao

The HEat modulated Infinite DImensional Heston (HEIDIH) model and its numerical approximation are introduced and analyzed. This model falls into the general framework of infinite dimensional Heston stochastic volatility models of (F.E.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Fred Espen Benth , Gabriel Lord , Giulia Di Nunno , Andreas Petersson

We give a necessary and sufficient condition for a homogeneous Markov process taking values in $\R^n$ to enjoy the time-inversion property of degree $\alpha$. The condition sets the shape for the semigroup densities of the process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stephan Lawi

This paper introduces a no-arbitrage, Monte Carlo-free approach to pricing path-dependent interest rate derivatives. The Heath-Jarrow-Morton model gives arbitrage-free contingent claims prices but is infinite-dimensional, making traditional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Kevin Mott
‹ Prev 1 3 4 5 6 7 10 Next ›