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We introduce a new method for online parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems, based on continuous observation of a small number of particles from the system. Our method recursively updates the model parameters using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Markovian diffusion processes yield a system of conservation laws which couple various conditional expectation values (local moments). Solutions of that closed system of deterministic partial differential equations stand for a regular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Garbaczewski

We define the probability structure of a continuous-time time-homogeneous Markov jump process, on a finite graph, that represents the continuous-time counterpart of the so-called Ruelle-Bowen discrete-time random walk. It constitutes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon

The cooperative dynamics of a 1-D collection of Markov jump, interacting stochastic processes is studied via a mean-field approach. In the time-asymptotic regime, the resulting nonlinear master equation is analytically solved. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Max-Olivier Hongler

A Markovian single-server queue is studied in an interactive random environment. The arrival and service rates of the queue depend on the environment, while the transition dynamics of the random environment depends on the queue length. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-10 Yana Belopolskaya , Guodong Pang , Andrey Sarantsev , Yurii Suhov

A random walk is a basic stochastic process on graphs and a key primitive in the design of distributed algorithms. One of the most important features of random walks is that, under mild conditions, they converge to a stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-19 Leran Cai , Thomas Sauerwald , Luca Zanetti

The consistency across scales of a recently developed mathematical thermodynamic structure, between a continuous stochastic nonlinear dynamical system (diffusion process with Langevin or Fokker-Planck equations) and its emergent discrete,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Moises Santillan , Hong Qian

We study a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes with state space Rd x E where E is a finite set. The continuous component evolves according to a smooth vector field that is switched at the jump times of the discrete coordinate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Michel Benaïm , Stéphane Le Borgne , Florent Malrieu , Pierre-André Zitt

We study the local regularity and multifractal nature of the sample paths of jump diffusion processes, which are solutions to a class of stochastic differential equations with jumps. This article extends the recent work of Barral {\it et…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-06 Xiaochuan Yang

We develop the idea of non-Markovian CTRW (continuous time random walk) approximation to the evolution of interacting particle systems, which leads to a general class of fractional kinetic measure-valued evolutions with variable order. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov , Marianna S. Troeva

The mean-field analysis of a multi-population agent-based model is performed. The model couples a particle dynamics driven by a nonlocal velocity with a Markow-type jump process on the probability that each agent has of belonging to a given…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-07-12 Marco Morandotti , Francesco Solombrino

A jump process for the positions of interacting quantum particles on a lattice, with time-dependent transition rates governed by the state vector, was first considered by J.S. Bell. We review this process and its continuum variants…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Roderich Tumulka , Hans-Otto Georgii

We study the behaviour of the leftmost particle in a semi-infinite particle system on $\mathbb{Z}$, where each particle performs a continuous-time nearest-neighbour random walk, with particle-specific jump rates, subject to the exclusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Mikhail Menshikov , Serguei Popov , Andrew Wade

Statistical mechanics explains the properties of macroscopic phenomena based on the movements of microscopic particles such as atoms and molecules. Movements of microscopic particles can be represented by large-scale interacting systems. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Kenichi Bannai , Jun Koriki , Makiko Sasada , Hidetada Wachi , Shuji Yamamoto

We propose a new model based on the Ising model with the aim to study synaptic plasticity phenomena in neural networks. It is today well established in biology that the synapses or connections between certain types of neurons are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-07-22 Eugene Pechersky , Guillem Via , Anatoly Yambartsev

We establish and generalise several bounds for various random walk quantities including the mixing time and the maximum hitting time. Unlike previous analyses, our derivations are based on rather intuitive notions of local expansion…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Thomas Sauerwald , Luca Zanetti

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

We consider an elementary model for self-organised criticality, the activated random walk on the complete graph. We introduce a discrete time Markov chain as follows. At each time step, we add an active particle at a random vertex and let…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Antal A. Járai , Christian Mönch , Lorenzo Taggi

This paper explores the entanglement dynamics generated by interacting two-particle quantum walks on degree-regular and -irregular graphs. We performed spectral analysis of the time-evolution of both the particle probability distribution…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-11-17 G. R. Carson , T. Loke , J. B. Wang