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The mass loss of the polar ice sheets contributes considerably to ongoing sea-level rise and changing ocean circulation, leading to coastal flooding and risking the homes and livelihoods of tens of millions of people globally. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Zesheng Liu , YoungHyun Koo , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Understanding and forecasting precipitation events in the Arctic maritime environments, such as Bear Island and Ny-{\AA}lesund, is crucial for assessing climate risk and developing early warning systems in vulnerable marine regions. This…

Arctic sea ice performs a vital role in global climate and has paramount impacts on both polar ecosystems and coastal communities. In the last few years, multiple deep learning based pan-Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Jingyi Xu , Yeqi Luo , Weidong Yang , Keyi Liu , Shengnan Wang , Ben Fei , Lei Bai

We propose a reduced-form benchmark predictive model (BPM) for fixed-target forecasting of Arctic sea ice extent, and we provide a case study of its real-time performance for target date September 2020. We visually detail the evolution of…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-04 Francis X. Diebold , Maximilian Gobel

Numerical weather prediction has traditionally been based on physical models of the atmosphere. Recently, however, the rise of deep learning has created increased interest in purely data-driven medium-range weather forecasting with first…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Stephan Rasp , Nils Thuerey

Lake ice, as part of the Essential Climate Variable (ECV) lakes, is an important indicator to monitor climate change and global warming. The spatio-temporal extent of lake ice cover, along with the timings of key phenological events such as…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-08 Manu Tom , Roberto Aguilar , Pascal Imhof , Silvan Leinss , Emmanuel Baltsavias , Konrad Schindler

The deep learning, which is a dominating technique in artificial intelligence, has completely changed the image understanding over the past decade. As a consequence, the sea ice extraction (SIE) problem has reached a new era. We present a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Anzhu Yu , Wenjun Huang , Qing Xu , Qun Sun , Wenyue Guo , Song Ji , Bowei Wen , Chunping Qiu

This paper combines fisheries dependent data and environmental data to be used in a machine learning pipeline to predict the spatio-temporal abundance of two species (plaice and sole) commonly caught by the Belgian fishery in the North Sea.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Matthieu Ospici , Klaas Sys , Sophie Guegan-Marat

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are vital for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in environmental management and climate adaptation strategies. Traditional numerical solvers, while effective, are computationally…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-21 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Teemu Roos

Sea ice cover in the Arctic and Antarctic is an important indicator of changes in the climate, with important environmental, economic and security consequences. The complexity of the spatio-temporal dynamics of sea ice makes it difficult to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-06 James Hogg , Maria Fonoberova , Igor Mezic

Research on data-driven ocean models has progressed rapidly in recent years; however, the application of these models to global eddy-resolving ocean forecasting remains limited. The accurate representation of ocean dynamics across a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuta Hirabayashi , Daisuke Matusoka , Konobu Kimura

Snow is a crucial element of the sea ice system, affecting sea ice growth and decay due to its low thermal conductivity and high albedo. Despite its importance, present-day climate models have an idealized representation of snow, often…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-13 Ayush Prasad , Ioanna Merkouriadi , Aleksi Nummelin

Rapid ice recession in the Arctic Ocean, with predictions of ice-free summers by 2060, opens new maritime routes but requires reliable navigation solutions. Current approaches rely heavily on subjective expert judgment, underscoring the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Corwin Grant Jeon MacMillan , K. Andrea Scott , Matthew Garvin , Zhao Pan

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

As climate change continues to reshape marginal ice zones in the Arctic, accurate and reliable sea ice data are critical for ensuring maritime safety. This study compares regional ice charts from the Alaska Sea Ice Program with satellite…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-15 Grant Peel , Ersegun Deniz Gedikli

A model-data inversion is applied to a very large observational dataset collected in the Southern Ocean north of the Ross Sea during late autumn to early winter, producing estimates of the frequency-dependent rate of dissipation by sea ice.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 W. Erick Rogers , Michael H. Meylan , Alison L. Kohout

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

Data-driven models have advanced deterministic ocean forecasting, but extending machine learning to probabilistic global ocean prediction remains an open challenge. Here we introduce FuXi-ONS, the first machine-learning ensemble forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Qiusheng Huang , Xiaohui Zhong , Anboyu Guo , Ziyi Peng , Lei Chen , Hao Li

Global warming is an urgent issue that is generating catastrophic environmental changes, such as the melting of sea ice and glaciers, particularly in the polar regions. The melting pattern and retreat of polar sea ice cover is an essential…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Jurdana Masuma Iqrah , Younghyun Koo , Wei Wang , Hongjie Xie , Sushil Prasad

We present an end-to-end deep learning framework for short-term forecasting of global sea surface dynamics based on sparse satellite altimetry data. Building on two state-of-the-art architectures: U-Net and 4DVarNet, originally developed…