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In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

Approaches for stochastic nonlinear model predictive control (SNMPC) typically make restrictive assumptions about the system dynamics and rely on approximations to characterize the evolution of the underlying uncertainty distributions. For…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Adam Polevoy , Marin Kobilarov , Joseph Moore

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive controller (SMPC) for linear time-invariant systems in the presence of additive disturbances. The distribution of the disturbance is unknown and is assumed to have a bounded support. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-03 Hotae Lee , Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Francesco Borrelli

Sample average approximation--based stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) and model predictive control (MPC) are two different methods for approaching multistage stochastic optimization. In this paper we investigate the conditions under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Andrew B. Philpott , Edward J. Anderson

Robot navigation around humans can be a challenging problem since human movements are hard to predict. Stochastic model predictive control (MPC) can account for such uncertainties and approximately bound the probability of a collision to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Yunfan Gao , Florian Messerer , Niels van Duijkeren , Moritz Diehl

Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) is widely used for controlling high-speed robotic systems such as quadrotors. However, its significant computational demands often hinder real-time feasibility and reliability, particularly in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Saber Omidi

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) algorithm for linear systems subject to additive Gaussian mixture disturbances, with the goal of satisfying chance constraints. We focus on a special case where each Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-25 Maico H. W. Engelaar , Micha P. P. Swaanen , Mircea Lazar , Sofie Haesaert

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) framework for a broad class of unconstrained controlled stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and establish its mean-square exponential stability in the infinite-horizon limit. At…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Qi Lü , Bowen Ma , Enrique Zuazua

We study the problem of distributed online control of networked systems with time-varying cost functions and disturbances, where each node only has local information of the states and forecasts of the costs and disturbances. We develop a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Eric Xu , Soummya Kar , Guannan Qu

We present a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) framework for linear systems subject to possibly unbounded disturbances. State of the art SMPC approaches with closed-loop chance constraint satisfaction recursively initialize the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper proposes a new sampling-based nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) algorithm, with a bound on complexity quadratic in the prediction horizon N and linear in the number of samples. The idea of the proposed algorithm is to use…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-13 R. V. Bobiti , M. Lazar

We propose a Stochastic MPC (SMPC) approach for autonomous driving which incorporates multi-modal, interaction-aware predictions of surrounding vehicles. For each mode, vehicle motion predictions are obtained by a control model described…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-09 Siddharth H. Nair , Vijay Govindarajan , Theresa Lin , Yan Wang , Eric H. Tseng , Francesco Borrelli

Suboptimal model predictive control is a technique that can reduce the computational cost of model predictive control (MPC) by exploiting its robustness to incomplete optimization. Instead of solving the optimal control problem exactly,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Dominic Liao-McPherson , Marco Nicotra , Ilya Kolmanovsky

We propose a data-driven receding-horizon control method dealing with the chance-constrained output-tracking problem of unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. The proposed method takes into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-13 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

The problem of synthesizing stochastic explicit model predictive control policies is known to be quickly intractable even for systems of modest complexity when using classical control-theoretic methods. To address this challenge, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Aaron Tuor , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Draguna Vrabie

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

We consider the problem of robust and adaptive model predictive control (MPC) of a linear system, with unknown parameters that are learned along the way (adaptive), in a critical setting where failures must be prevented (robust). This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We study the impact of predictions in online Linear Quadratic Regulator control with both stochastic and adversarial disturbances in the dynamics. In both settings, we characterize the optimal policy and derive tight bounds on the minimum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Chenkai Yu , Guanya Shi , Soon-Jo Chung , Yisong Yue , Adam Wierman

Designing controllers for systems affected by model uncertainty can prove to be a challenge, especially when seeking the optimal compromise between the conflicting goals of identification and control. This trade-off is explicitly taken into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-30 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Max Schlichting , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We show that stochastic programming (SP) provides a framework to design hierarchical model predictive control (MPC) schemes for periodic systems. This is based on the observation that, if the state policy of an infinite-horizon problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ranjeet Kumar , Michael J. Wenzel , Matthew J. Ellis , Mohammad N. ElBsat , Kirk H. Drees , Victor M. Zavala