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We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Random fields play a central role in the analysis of spatially correlated data and, as a result, have a significant impact on a broad array of scientific applications. This paper studies the cepstral random field model, providing recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Tucker S. McElroy , Scott H. Holan

One of the main applications of free probability is to show that for appropriately chosen independent copies of $d$ random matrix models, any noncommutative polynomial in these $d$ variables has a spectral distribution that converges…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Benoît Collins , Tobias Mai , Akihiro Miyagawa , Félix Parraud , Sheng Yin

In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

In supervised batch learning, the predictive normalized maximum likelihood (pNML) has been proposed as the min-max regret solution for the distribution-free setting, where no distributional assumptions are made on the data. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Koby Bibas , Meir Feder

We propose an $L_{2}$-based penalization algorithm for functional linear regression models, where the coefficient function is shrunk towards a data-driven shape template $\gamma$, which is constrained to belong to a class of piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Edoardo Belli , Simone Vantini

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is widely used for nonparametric regression over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. It offers powerful modeling capabilities at the cost of significant computational costs, which typically require $O(n^3)$…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Xiaowu Dai , Huiying Zhong

Ridge regression is a popular method for dense least squares regularization. In this work, ridge regression is studied in the context of VAR model estimation and inference. The implications of anisotropic penalization are discussed and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Giovanni Ballarin

The Ridgeless minimum $\ell_2$-norm interpolator in overparametrized linear regression has attracted considerable attention in recent years in both machine learning and statistics communities. While it seems to defy conventional wisdom that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Qiyang Han , Xiaocong Xu

The paper addresses the problem of learning a regression model parameterized by a fixed-rank positive semidefinite matrix. The focus is on the nonlinear nature of the search space and on scalability to high-dimensional problems. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-02-01 Gilles Meyer , Silvere Bonnabel , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Although a majority of the theoretical literature in high-dimensional statistics has focused on settings which involve fully-observed data, settings with missing values and corruptions are common in practice. We consider the problems of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-06 Yining Wang , Jialei Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

These notes are about ridge functions. Recent years have witnessed a flurry of interest in these functions. Ridge functions appear in various fields and under various guises. They appear in fields as diverse as partial differential…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Vugar Ismailov

Deep learning methods operate in regimes that defy the traditional statistical mindset. Neural network architectures often contain more parameters than training samples, and are so rich that they can interpolate the observed labels, even if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Song Mei , Andrea Montanari

We propose a new randomized optimization method for high-dimensional problems which can be seen as a generalization of coordinate descent to random subspaces. We show that an adaptive sampling strategy for the random subspace significantly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci , Marco Pavone

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick

We propose statistical inferential procedures for panel data models with interactive fixed effects in a kernel ridge regression framework.Compared with traditional sieve methods, our method is automatic in the sense that it does not require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-10 Shunan Zhao , Ruiqi Liu , Zuofeng Shang

We prove a non-asymptotic distribution-independent lower bound for the expected mean squared generalization error caused by label noise in ridgeless linear regression. Our lower bound generalizes a similar known result to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 David Holzmüller

Ridgeless regression has garnered attention among researchers, particularly in light of the ``Benign Overfitting'' phenomenon, where models interpolating noisy samples demonstrate robust generalization. However, kernel ridgeless regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Fan He , Mingzhen He , Lei Shi , Xiaolin Huang , Johan A. K. Suykens

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a widely used nonparametric method due to its strong theoretical guarantees and computational convenience. However, standard KRR does not distinguish between linear and nonlinear components in the signal,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Xin Bing , Chao Wang

Bagging is a commonly used ensemble technique in statistics and machine learning to improve the performance of prediction procedures. In this paper, we study the prediction risk of variants of bagged predictors under the proportional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla
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