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Traditional regression models assume stationary relationships between predictors and responses, failing to capture the spatial heterogeneity present in many environmental, epidemiological, and ecological processes. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Justice Akuoko-Frimpong , Edward Shao , Jonathan Ta

The R package BayesPPD (Bayesian Power Prior Design) supports Bayesian power and type I error calculation and model fitting after incorporating historical data with the power prior and the normalized power prior for generalized linear…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-30 Yueqi Shen , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

In this article, we present a recently released R package for Bayesian calibration. Many industrial fields are facing unfeasible or costly field experiments. These experiments are replaced with numerical/computer experiments which are…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-30 Mathieu Carmassi , Pierre Barbillon , Matthieu Chiodetti , Merlin Keller , Eric Parent

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

Variable clustering is important for explanatory analysis. However, only few dedicated methods for variable clustering with the Gaussian graphical model have been proposed. Even more severe, small insignificant partial correlations due to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-18 Daniel Andrade , Akiko Takeda , Kenji Fukumizu

We propose a restricted win probability estimand for comparing treatments in a randomized trial with a time-to-event outcome. We also propose Bayesian estimators for this summary measure as well as the unrestricted win probability. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-06 Michelle Leeberg , Xianghua Luo , Thomas A. Murray

Population adjustment methods such as matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) are increasingly used to compare marginal treatment effects when there are cross-trial differences in effect modifiers and limited patient-level data. MAIC…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

Recent work has shown that a person's sympathetic arousal can be estimated from facial videos alone using basic signal processing. This opens up new possibilities in the field of telehealth and stress management, providing a non-invasive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Björn Braun , Daniel McDuff , Tadas Baltrusaitis , Paul Streli , Max Moebus , Christian Holz

Deciding on an appropriate intervention requires a causal model of a treatment, the outcome, and potential mediators. Causal mediation analysis lets us distinguish between direct and indirect effects of the intervention, but has mostly been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Çağlar Hızlı , ST John , Anne Juuti , Tuure Saarinen , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

The search for gamma-ray counterparts to gravitational-wave events with the CALET Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (CGBM) requires accurate and robust background modeling. Previous CALET observing runs (O3 and O4) relied on averaged pre/post-event…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-11-20 Bisweswar Sen

This paper introduces a novel framework for reducing variable selection bias by balancing selection frequencies of base-learners in boosting and introduces the sgboost package in R, which implements this framework combined with sparse-group…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-07 Fabian Obster , Christian Heumann

Causal mediation analysis is an important statistical tool to quantify effects transmitted by intermediate variables from a cause to an outcome. There is a gap in mediation analysis methods to handle mixture mediator data that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Meilin Jiang , Seonjoo Lee , A. James O'Malley , Pengfei Li , Zhigang Li

We study data-driven decision-making problems in the Bayesian framework, where the expectation in the Bayes risk is replaced by a risk-sensitive entropic risk measure. We focus on problems where calculating the posterior distribution is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Boosting methods are widely used in statistical learning to deal with high-dimensional data due to their variable selection feature. However, those methods lack straightforward ways to construct estimators for the precision of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Boyao Zhang , Colin Griesbach , Cora Kim , Nadia Müller-Voggel , Elisabeth Bergherr

Compared to mean regression and quantile regression, the literature on modal regression is very sparse. A unifying framework for Bayesian modal regression is proposed, based on a family of unimodal distributions indexed by the mode, along…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Rai Bai

The R package rts2 provides data manipulation and model fitting tools for Log Gaussian Cox Process (LGCP) models. LGCP models are a key method for disease and other types of surveillance, and provide a means of predicting risk across an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-15 Samuel I Watson

In epidemiological research, causal models incorporating potential mediators along a pathway are crucial for understanding how exposures influence health outcomes. This work is motivated by integrated epidemiological and blood biomarker…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-28 Youngho Bae , Chanmin Kim , Fenglei Wang , Qi Sun , Kyu Ha Lee

In molecular biology, advances in high-throughput technologies have made it possible to study complex multivariate phenotypes and their simultaneous associations with high-dimensional genomic and other omics data, a problem that can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Zhi Zhao , Marco Banterle , Leonardo Bottolo , Sylvia Richardson , Alex Lewin , Manuela Zucknick

Causal effect moderation investigates how the effect of interventions (or treatments) on outcome variables changes based on observed characteristics of individuals, known as potential effect moderators. With advances in data collection,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Soham Bakshi , Walter Dempsey , Snigdha Panigrahi