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We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

Under compressive creep, visco-plastic solids experiencing internal mass transfer processes have been recently proposed to accommodate singular cnoidal wave solutions, as material instabilities at the stationary wave limit. These…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Roberto J. Cier , Thomas Poulet , Sergio Rojas , Victor M. Calo , Manolis Veveakis

Microstructures are critical to the physical properties of materials. Stochastic microstructures are commonly observed in many kinds of materials and traditional descriptor-based image analysis of them can be challenging. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-22 Kungang Zhang , Daniel W. Apley , Wei Chen

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

Accurately estimating data density is crucial for making informed decisions and modeling in various fields. This paper presents a novel nonparametric density estimation procedure that utilizes bivariate penalized spline smoothing over…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Kunal Das , Shan Yu , Guannan Wang , Li Wang

The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-19 Lihao Yin , Huiyan Sang

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

It is by now established that, remarkably, the addition of noise to a nonlinear system may sometimes facilitate, rather than hamper the detection of weak signals. This phenomenon, usually referred to as stochastic resonance, was originally…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Redouane Fakir

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We present a new variational method for investigating the ground state and out of equilibrium dynamics of quantum many-body bosonic and fermionic systems. Our approach is based on constructing variational wavefunctions which extend Gaussian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-14 Tao Shi , Eugene Demler , J. Ignacio Cirac

Many contemporary applications in signal processing and machine learning give rise to structured non-convex non-smooth optimization problems that can often be tackled by simple iterative methods quite effectively. One of the keys to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Jiajin Li , Anthony Man-Cho So , Wing-Kin Ma

Several recent works have explored stochastic gradient methods for variational inference that exploit the geometry of the variational-parameter space. However, the theoretical properties of these methods are not well-understood and these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-15 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Reza Babanezhad , Wu Lin , Mark Schmidt , Masashi Sugiyama

We apply the subordination principle to construct kinetic fractional statistical dynamics in the continuum in terms of solutions to Vlasov-type hierarchies. As a by-product we obtain the evolution of the density of particles in the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-10-19 Jose Luis da Silva , Anatoly N. Kochubei , Yuri Kondratiev

We introduce a dynamical system based on the vertices of Voronoi tessellations. This dynamical system acts on finite or discrete point sets in the plane, taking a point set to the vertex set of its Voronoi tessellation. We explore the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-12-24 Natalie Priebe Frank , Sean Hart

We study a special case of the problem of statistical learning without the i.i.d. assumption. Specifically, we suppose a learning method is presented with a sequence of data points, and required to make a prediction (e.g., a classification)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

Distinguishing long-memory behaviour from nonstationarity is challenging, as both produce slowly decaying sample autocovariances. Existing stationarity tests either fail to account for long-memory processes or exhibit poor empirical size,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

Sensor technology developments provide a basis for effective fault diagnosis in manufacturing systems. However, the limited number of sensors due to physical constraints or undue costs hinders the accurate diagnosis in the actual process.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Jihoon Chung , Zhenyu Kong

In geostatistics, it is common to model spatially distributed phenomena through an underlying stationary and isotropic spatial process. However, these assumptions are often untenable in practice because of the influence of local effects in…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-29 Brian J. Reich , Jo Eidsvik , Michele Guindani , Amy J. Nail , Alexandra M. Schmidt
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