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We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

We observe $n$ sequences at each of $m$ sites, and assume that they have evolved from an ancestral sequence that forms the root of a binary tree of known topology and branch lengths, but the sequence states at internal nodes are unknown.…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-28 Adam Persing , Ajay Jasra , Alexandros Beskos , David Balding , Maria De Iorio

Seismic data processing involves techniques to deal with undesired effects that occur during acquisition and pre-processing. These effects mainly comprise coherent artefacts such as multiples, non-coherent signals such as electrical noise,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-14 Ricard Durall , Ammar Ghanim , Mario Fernandez , Norman Ettrich , Janis Keuper

Bayesian Neural Networks provide a principled framework for uncertainty quantification by modeling the posterior distribution of network parameters. However, exact posterior inference is computationally intractable, and widely used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Alfredo Reichlin , Miguel Vasco , Danica Kragic

Estimation of spatially-varying parameters for computationally expensive forward models governed by partial differential equations is addressed. A novel multiscale Bayesian inference approach is introduced based on deep probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Yingzhi Xia , Nicholas Zabaras

Post-data statistical inference concerns making probability statements about model parameters conditional on observed data. When a priori knowledge about parameters is available, post-data inference can be conveniently made from Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Yang Liu , Jan Hannig , Alexander C Murph

In the context of dynamic emission tomography, the conventional processing pipeline consists of independent image reconstruction of single time frames, followed by the application of a suitable kinetic model to time activity curves (TACs)…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-28 Michele Scipioni , Stefano Pedemonte , Maria Filomena Santarelli , Luigi Landini

Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible framework to predict spatially distributed variables with uncertainty. But the use of nonstationary priors, often necessary for capturing complex spatial patterns, makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Gabriel V Cardoso , Mike Pereira

We present Bayesian Diffusion Models (BDM), a prediction algorithm that performs effective Bayesian inference by tightly coupling the top-down (prior) information with the bottom-up (data-driven) procedure via joint diffusion processes. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Haiyang Xu , Yu Lei , Zeyuan Chen , Xiang Zhang , Yue Zhao , Yilin Wang , Zhuowen Tu

A novel multi-task Gaussian process (GP) framework is proposed, by using a common mean process for sharing information across tasks. In particular, we investigate the problem of time series forecasting, with the objective to improve…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-25 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey

Previous works leveraging video models for image-to-3D scene generation tend to suffer from geometric distortions and blurry content. In this paper, we renovate the pipeline of image-to-3D scene generation by unlocking the potential of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Yuhao Wan , Lijuan Liu , Jingzhi Zhou , Zihan Zhou , Xuying Zhang , Dongbo Zhang , Shaohui Jiao , Qibin Hou , Ming-Ming Cheng

We present a new approach, the Topograph, which reconstructs underlying physics processes, including the intermediary particles, by leveraging underlying priors from the nature of particle physics decays and the flexibility of message…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-10-16 Lukas Ehrke , John Andrew Raine , Knut Zoch , Manuel Guth , Tobias Golling

Graphical model learning and inference are often performed using Bayesian techniques. In particular, learning is usually performed in two separate steps. First, the graph structure is learned from the data; then the parameters of the model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-09 Marco Scutari

Shape information is of great importance in many applications. For example, the oil-bearing capacity of sand bodies, the subterranean remnants of ancient rivers, is related to their cross-sectional shapes. The analysis of these shapes is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Thomai Tsiftsi , Ian H. Jermyn , Jochen Einbeck

Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf

Generating realistic 3D objects from single-view images requires natural appearance, 3D consistency, and the ability to capture multiple plausible interpretations of unseen regions. Existing approaches often rely on fine-tuning pretrained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Pufan Li , Bi'an Du , Wei Hu

For Bayesian computation in big data contexts, the divide-and-conquer MCMC concept splits the whole data set into batches, runs MCMC algorithms separately over each batch to produce samples of parameters, and combines them to produce an…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-25 Wu Changye , Christian P. Robert

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

Geological parameterization entails the representation of a geomodel using a small set of latent variables and a mapping from these variables to grid-block properties such as porosity and permeability. Parameterization is useful for data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Guido Di Federico , Louis J. Durlofsky

Comparing mathematical models offers a means to evaluate competing scientific theories. However, exact methods of model calibration are not applicable to many probabilistic models which simulate high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Robert A McDonald , Helen M Byrne , Heather A Harrington , Thomas Thorne , Bernadette J Stolz
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