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This paper provides a general framework for testing instrument validity in heterogeneous causal effect models. The generalization includes the cases where the treatment can be multivalued ordered or unordered. Based on a series of testable…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-11 Zhenting Sun

We study a likelihood ratio test for detecting multiple {\it weak} changes in the mean of a class of CHARN models. The locally asymptotically normal (LAN) structure of the family of likelihoods under study is established. It results that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji , Marwa Ltaifa

This paper investigates the (conditional) quasi-likelihood ratio test for the threshold in MA models. Under the hypothesis of no threshold, it is shown that the test statistic converges weakly to a function of the centred Gaussian process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Shiqing Ling , Howell Tong

Machine learning (ML) models used in prediction and classification tasks may display performance disparities across population groups determined by sensitive attributes (e.g., race, sex, age). We consider the problem of evaluating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Lucas Monteiro Paes , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Alex Beutel , Flavio P. Calmon , Ahmad Beirami

Instrumental variables estimation has gained considerable traction in recent decades as a tool for causal inference, particularly amongst empirical researchers. This paper makes three contributions. First, we provide a detailed theoretical…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-27 Aiwei Huang , Madhurima Chandra , Laura Malkhasyan

In this paper, we propose corrections to the likelihood ratio test and John's test for sphericity in large-dimensions. New formulas for the limiting parameters in the CLT for linear spectral statistics of sample covariance matrices with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Qinwen Wang , Jianfeng Yao

We introduce a rigorous and sensitive significance test for hyperuniformity that yields reliable results even from a single sample. Our approach is based on a detailed analysis of the empirical Fourier transform of a stationary point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Michael A. Klatt , Günter Last , Norbert Henze

In conditional copula models, the copula parameter is deterministically linked to a covariate via the calibration function. The latter is of central interest for inference and is usually estimated nonparametrically. However, when a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Elif F. Acar , Radu V. Craiu , Fang Yao

Relative error estimation has been recently used in regression analysis. A crucial issue of the existing relative error estimation procedures is that they are sensitive to outliers. To address this issue, we employ the $\gamma$-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-17 Kei Hirose , Hiroki Masuda

For the over-identified linear instrumental variables model, researchers commonly report the 2SLS estimate along with the robust standard error and seek to conduct inference with these quantities. If errors are homoskedastic, one can…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-28 David S. Lee , Justin McCrary , Marcelo J. Moreira , Jack Porter , Luther Yap

Testing for a mediation effect is important in many disciplines, but is made difficult - even asymptotically - by the influence of nuisance parameters. Classical tests such as likelihood ratio (LR) and Wald (Sobel) tests have very poor…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Grant Hillier , Kees Jan van Garderen , Noud van Giersbergen

This paper studies the challenging problem of estimating causal effects from observational data, in the presence of unobserved confounders. The two-stage least square (TSLS) method and its variants with a standard instrumental variable (IV)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-26 Igor Volobouev , A. Alexandre Trindade

A formal likelihood ratio hypothesis test for the validity of a parametric regression function is proposed, using a large-dimensional, nonparametric double cone alternative. For example, the test against a constant function uses the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-30 Bodhisattva Sen , Mary Meyer

This paper develops a new specification test for the instrument weakness when the number of instruments $K_n$ is large with a magnitude comparable to the sample size $n$. The test relies on the fact that the difference between the two-stage…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-01 Zhenhong Huang , Chen Wang , Jianfeng Yao

While calibration of probabilistic predictions has been widely studied, this paper rather addresses calibration of likelihood functions. This has been discussed, especially in biometrics, in cases with only two exhaustive and mutually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Paul-Gauthier Noé , Andreas Nautsch , Driss Matrouf , Pierre-Michel Bousquet , Jean-François Bonastre

We develop an improvement to conditional logistic regression (CLR) in the setting where the parameter of interest is the additive effect of binary treatment effect on log-odds of the positive level in the binary response. Our improvement is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Jacob Tennenbaum , Adam Kapelner

A non parametric method based on the empirical likelihood is proposed for detecting the change in the coefficients of high-dimensional linear model where the number of model variables may increase as the sample size increases. This amounts…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Gabriela Ciuperca , Zahraa Salloum

Empirical instrumental variables (IV) studies often report separate results based on low-dimensional instruments and many base instruments. This paper proposes a combination test that integrates these commonly reported statistics. The test…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-25 Liyu Dou , Pengjin Min , Wenjie Wang , Yichong Zhang

Unlike other techniques of causality inference, the use of valid instrumental variables can deal with unobserved sources of both variable errors, variable omissions, and sampling bias, and still arrive at consistent estimates of average…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-17 Øyvind Hoveid