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For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

Graphical model estimation from multi-omics data requires a balance between statistical estimation performance and computational scalability. We introduce a novel pseudolikelihood-based graphical model framework that reparameterizes the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Sungdong Lee , Joshua Bang , Youngrae Kim , Hyungwon Choi , Sang-Yun Oh , Joong-Ho Won

Whether an extreme observation is an outlier or not, depends strongly on the corresponding tail behaviour of the underlying distribution. We develop an automatic, data-driven method to identify extreme tail behaviour that deviates from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-06 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Jan Beirlant

It is well known that the dependence structure for jointly Gaussian variables can be fully captured using correlations, and that the conditional dependence structure in the same way can be described using partial correlations. The partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Håkon Otneim , Dag Tjøstheim

The study of geometric extremes, where extremal dependence properties are inferred from the deterministic limiting shapes of scaled sample clouds, provides an exciting approach to modelling the extremes of multivariate data. These shapes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-16 Callum J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , Reetam Majumder , Jordan Richards

Expectile, as the minimizer of an asymmetric quadratic loss function, is a coherent risk measure and is helpful to use more information about the distribution of the considered risk. In this paper, we propose a new risk measure by replacing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-31 Qian Xiong , Zuoxiang Peng

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

Spatial networks, in which nodes and edges are embedded in space, play a vital role in the study of complex systems. For example, many social networks attach geo-location information to each user, allowing the study of not only topological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Nicholas D. Larusso , Brian E. Ruttenberg , Ambuj Singh

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

In this paper we are concerned with the analysis of heavy-tailed data when a portion of the extreme values is unavailable. This research was motivated by an analysis of the degree distributions in a large social network. The degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-20 Jingjing Zou , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

This article studies tail behavior for the error components in the stochastic frontier model, where one component has bounded support on one side, and the other has unbounded support on both sides. Under weak assumptions on the error…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-16 William , C. Horrace , Yulong Wang

Accurately predicting the future trajectories of traffic agents is essential in autonomous driving. However, due to the inherent imbalance in trajectory distributions, tail data in natural datasets often represents more complex and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Bin Rao , Haicheng Liao , Yanchen Guan , Chengyue Wang , Bonan Wang , Jiaxun Zhang , Zhenning Li

In this article, we investigate partially truncated correlation functions (PTCF) of infinite continuous systems of classical point particles with pair interaction. We derive Kirkwood-Salsburg-type equations for the PTCF and write the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-12-22 Tony C. Dorlas , Alexei L. Rebenko , Baptiste Savoie

We introduce a new network marker for climate network analysis. It is based upon an available special definition of local clustering coefficient for weighted correlation networks, which was previously introduced in the neuroscience context…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-02 Mikhail Krivonosov , Olga Vershinina , Anna Pirova , Shraddha Gupta , Oleg Kanakov , Juergen Kurths

Capital allocation is a procedure used to assess the risk contributions of individual risk components to the total risk of a portfolio. While the conditional tail expectation (CTE)-based capital allocation is arguably the most popular…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-05 Enrique Calderín-Ojeda , Yuyu Chen , Soon Wei Tan

Expectiles define the only law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure apart from the expectation. The popularity of expectile-based risk measures is steadily growing and their properties have been studied for independent data, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-13 Anthony C. Davison , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Regarding the analysis of Web communication, social and complex networks the fast finding of most influential nodes in a network graph constitutes an important research problem. We use two indices of the influence of those nodes, namely,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-06 Natalia Markovich

Generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (GARCH) processes are widely used for modelling features commonly found in observed financial returns. The extremal properties of these processes are of considerable interest for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-20 Fabrizio Laurini , Paul Fearnhead , Jonathan A. Tawn