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Travel demand forecasting is an essential part of transportation planning and management. The four-step travel model is the traditional and most-common procedure utilized for travel demand forecasting, and many models have been proposed in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-18 Hao Wang , Xiao-Yong Yan

The observed similarities in the behavior of humans and Large Language Models (LLMs) have prompted researchers to consider the potential of using LLMs as models of human cognition. However, several significant challenges must be addressed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Jian-Qiao Zhu , Haijiang Yan , Thomas L. Griffiths

Possibility theory is proposed as an uncertainty representation framework for distributed learning in multi-agent systems and robot swarms. In particular, we investigate its application to the best-of-n problem where the aim is for a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Jonathan Lawry , Michael Crosscombe , David Harvey

Decisions by humans depend on their estimations given some uncertain sensory data. These decisions can also be influenced by the behavior of others. Here we present a mathematical model to quantify this influence, inviting a further study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Gabriel Madirolas , Alfonso Perez-Escudero , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

During a public health crisis like COVID-19, individuals' adoption of protective behaviors, such as self-isolation and wearing masks, can significantly impact the spread of the disease. In the meanwhile, the spread of the disease can also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-27 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

Although many investigators affirm a desire to build reasoning systems that behave consistently with the axiomatic basis defined by probability theory and utility theory, limited resources for engineering and computation can make a complete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Eric J. Horvitz

Individual-level human mobility prediction has emerged as a significant topic of research with applications in infectious disease monitoring, child, and elderly care. Existing studies predominantly focus on the microscopic aspects of human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Yueyang Liu , Lance Kennedy , Ruochen Kong , Joon-Seok Kim , Andreas Züfle

Nowadays, human movement in urban spaces can be traced digitally in many cases. It can be observed that movement patterns are not constant, but vary across time and space. In this work,we characterize such spatio-temporal patterns with an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-11 Lisette Espín-Noboa , Florian Lemmerich , Philipp Singer , Markus Strohmaier

This paper proposes to use probabilistic model checking to synthesize optimal robot policies in multi-tasking autonomous systems that are subject to human-robot interaction. Given the convincing empirical evidence that human behavior can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Sebastian Junges , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Travel decisions tend to exhibit sensitivity to uncertainty and information processing constraints. These behavioural conditions can be characterized by a generative learning process. We propose a data-driven generative model version of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-29 Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq

We develop a qualitative model of decision making with two aims: to describe how people make simple decisions and to enable computer programs to do the same. Current approaches based on Planning or Decisions Theory either ignore uncertainty…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Blai Bonet , Hector Geffner

AI agents designed to collaborate with people benefit from models that enable them to anticipate human behavior. However, realistic models tend to require vast amounts of human data, which is often hard to collect. A good prior or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Mesut Yang , Micah Carroll , Anca Dragan

This paper proposes a new general approach based on Bayesian networks to model the human behaviour. This approach represents human behaviour with probabilistic cause-effect relations based on knowledge, but also with conditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Khadija Tijani , Stephane Ploix , Benjamin Haas , Julie Dugdale , Quoc Dung Ngo

This work proposes a novel approach to include a model of making decision in human brain into the control loop. Employing the methodology developed in mathematical neuroscience, we construct a model that accounts for quality of human…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-08 Mehdi Firouznia , Chen Peng , Qing Hui

AI systems are often used to make or contribute to important decisions in a growing range of applications, including criminal justice, hiring, and medicine. Since these decisions impact human lives, it is important that the AI systems act…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Duncan C McElfresh , Lok Chan , Kenzie Doyle , Walter Sinnott-Armstrong , Vincent Conitzer , Jana Schaich Borg , John P Dickerson

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to estimate parameters of an acquisition function given observed human behavior that can be modeled as a collection of sample paths from a Bayesian optimization procedure. The methodology…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-02-04 Nathan Sandholtz , Yohsuke Miyamoto , Luke Bornn , Maurice Smith

This paper shows how we can combine logical representations of actions and decision theory in such a manner that seems natural for both. In particular we assume an axiomatization of the domain in terms of situation calculus, using what is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 David L. Poole

In this paper, we bridge two disciplines: systems & control and environmental psychology. We develop second order Behavior and Personal norm (BP) based models (which are consistent with some studies on opinion dynamics) for describing and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-22 S. Feng , M. Cucuzzella , T. Bouman , L. Steg , J. M. A. Scherpen

How should well-being be prioritised in society, and what trade-offs are people willing to make between fairness and personal well-being? We investigate these questions using a stated preference experiment with a nationally representative…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Crispin Cooper , Ana Fredrich , Tommaso Reggiani , Wouter Poortinga

Predictive modeling has the potential to enhance human decision-making. However, many predictive models fail in practice due to problematic problem formulation in cases where the prediction target is an abstract concept or construct and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Mengtian Guo , David Gotz , Yue Wang