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We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

Count data appears in various disciplines. In this work, a new method to analyze time series count data has been proposed. The method assumes exponentially decaying covariance structure, a special class of the Mat\'ern covariance function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 Soudeep Deb

We consider uniform random permutations drawn from a family enumerated through generating trees. We develop a new general technique to establish a central limit theorem for the number of consecutive occurrences of a fixed pattern in such…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Jacopo Borga

Many important stochastic counting models can be written as general birth-death processes (BDPs). BDPs are continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers and can be used to easily parameterize a rich variety of probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

In this paper, we introduce a generalized model for count data based upon an assumed Weibull interarrival process that nests the Poisson and negative binomial models as special cases. In addition, we demonstrate that this new Weibull count…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Moshe Adrian , Eric Bradlow , Peter Fader , Blake McShane

We introduce a continuous-time Markov chain framework for estimating population size from multi-list data, which allows directional interactions to be modelled and can accommodate absorbing lists, such as death records, or more general data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Ophélie Schaller , Andrew Titman , Rachel McCrea

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

The quantity and types of biodiversity data being collected have increased in recent years. If we are to model and monitor biodiversity effectively, we need to respect how different data sets were collected, and effectively integrate these…

Appealing to several multivariate information measures---some familiar, some new here---we analyze the information embedded in discrete-valued stochastic time series. We dissect the uncertainty of a single observation to demonstrate how the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Ryan G. James , Christopher J. Ellison , James P. Crutchfield

Healthcare data from patient or population cohorts are often characterized by sparsity, high missingness and relatively small sample sizes. In addition, being able to quantify uncertainty is often important in a medical context. To address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-28 H. C. Donker , D. Neijzen , J. de Jong , G. A. Lunter

Data mining is the task of discovering interesting patterns from large amounts of data. There are many data mining tasks, such as classification, clustering, association rule mining, and sequential pattern mining. Sequential pattern mining…

Databases · Computer Science 2010-02-08 Mahdi Esmaeili , Fazekas Gabor

Estimating and testing for differences in molecular phenotypes (e.g. gene expression, chromatin accessibility, transcription factor binding) across conditions is an important part of understanding the molecular basis of gene regulation.…

Many spatio-temporal data record the time of birth and death of individuals, along with their spatial trajectories during their lifetime, whether through continuous-time observations or discrete-time observations. Natural applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Frédéric Lavancier , Ronan Le Guével

Analysing age-specific mortality, fertility, and migration patterns is a crucial task in demography with significant policy relevance. In practice, such analysis is challenging when studying a large number of subpopulations, due to small…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-29 Gregor Zens

In this review, we discuss the applications of the theory of birth-and-death processes to problems in biology, primarily, those of evolutionary genomics. The mathematical principles of the theory of these processes are briefly described.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Artem S. Novozhilov , Georgy P. Karev , Eugene V. Koonin

Probabilistic approaches for handling count-valued time sequences have attracted amounts of research attentions because their ability to infer explainable latent structures and to estimate uncertainties, and thus are especially suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Jiahao Wang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl , Xiuzhen Cheng , Pengfei Hu , Guoming Zhang

The development of multicellular organisms entails a deep connection between time-dependent biochemical processes taking place at the subcellular level, and the resulting macroscopic phenotypes that arise in populations of up to trillions…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Ben Ansbacher , Malachy Guzman , Jordi Garcia-Ojalvo , Arjendu K Pattanayak

Computer modelling for evolutionary systems consists in: 1) to store in the memory the individual features of each member of a large population; and 2) to update the whole system repeatedly, as time goes by, according to some prescribed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paulo Murilo Castro de Oliveira

When two (possibly different in distribution) continuous-state branching processes with immigration are present, we study the relative frequency of one of them when the total mass is forced to be constant at a dense set of times. This leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-14 María Emilia Caballero , Adrián González Casanova , José-Luis Pérez

Continuous-time event sequences, i.e., sequences consisting of continuous time stamps and associated event types ("marks"), are an important type of sequential data with many applications, e.g., in clinical medicine or user behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-17 Alex Boyd , Yuxin Chang , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth
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