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Sampling-based approaches are widely used in systems without analytic models to estimate risk or find optimal control. However, gathering sufficient data in such scenarios can be prohibitively costly. On the other hand, in many situations,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Zhuoyuan Wang , Takashi Tanaka , Yongxin Chen , Yorie Nakahira

We propose a hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) technique applicable to high-dimensional multivariate normal distributions that effectively samples along chaotic trajectories. The method is predicated on the freedom of choice of the HMC momentum…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-04-26 Nirag Kadakia

The trace of a matrix function f(A), most notably of the matrix inverse, can be estimated stochastically using samples< x,f(A)x> if the components of the random vectors x obey an appropriate probability distribution. However such a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Andreas Frommer , Mostafa Nasr Khalil , Gustavo Ramirez-Hidalgo

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

In this paper we consider the problem of a measure that allows us to describe the spatial and temporal dependence structure of multivariate time series with innovations having infinite variance. By using recent results obtained in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Aleksandra Grzesiek , Marek Teuerle , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Sequence generation models are commonly refined with reinforcement learning over user-defined metrics. However, high gradient variance hinders the practical use of this method. To stabilize this method, we adapt to contextual generation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Xinjie Fan , Yizhe Zhang , Zhendong Wang , Mingyuan Zhou

We consider a class of finite time horizon nonlinear stochastic optimal control problem, where the control acts additively on the dynamics and the control cost is quadratic. This framework is flexible and has found applications in many…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ajay Jasra , Jeremy Heng , Yaxian Xu , Adrian N. Bishop

We revise the problem of extracting one independent component from an instantaneous linear mixture of signals. The mixing matrix is parameterized by two vectors, one column of the mixing matrix and one row of the de-mixing matrix. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-30 Zbyněk Koldovský , Petr Tichavský

Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

Variational approaches to disparity estimation typically use a linearised brightness constancy constraint, which only applies in smooth regions and over small distances. Accordingly, current variational approaches rely on a schedule to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-28 James L. Gray , Aous T. Naman , David S. Taubman

Population control is an essential component of any projector Monte Carlo algorithm. This control mechanism usually introduces a bias in the sampled quantities that is inversely proportional to the population size. In this paper, we…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-28 Khaldoon Ghanem , Niklas Liebermann , Ali Alavi

Least squares Monte Carlo methods are a popular numerical approximation method for solving stochastic control problems. Based on dynamic programming, their key feature is the approximation of the conditional expectation of future rewards by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny

We present simple and practical strategies to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. Our focus is on variational Monte Carlo calculations of atomic forces and pressure in electronic systems, although we show that the underlying…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-17 David Linteau , Saverio Moroni , Giuseppe Carleo , Markus Holzmann

Policy gradient methods are very attractive in reinforcement learning due to their model-free nature and convergence guarantees. These methods, however, suffer from high variance in gradient estimation, resulting in poor sample efficiency.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Sergey Pankov

Diffusion models offer a robust framework for sampling from unnormalized probability densities, which requires accurately estimating the score of the noise-perturbed target distribution. While the standard Denoising Score Identity (DSI)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Khaled Kahouli , Romuald Elie , Klaus-Robert Müller , Quentin Berthet , Oliver T. Unke , Arnaud Doucet

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

We consider the problem of improving the efficiency of randomized Fourier feature maps to accelerate training and testing speed of kernel methods on large datasets. These approximate feature maps arise as Monte Carlo approximations to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-11 Haim Avron , Vikas Sindhwani , Jiyan Yang , Michael Mahoney

This paper proposes a new theory and methodology to tackle the problem of unifying distributed analyses and inferences on shared parameters from multiple sources, into a single coherent inference. This surprisingly challenging problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Hongsheng Dai , Murray Pollock , Gareth Roberts

First-order methods for stochastic optimization have undeniable relevance, in part due to their pivotal role in machine learning. Variance reduction for these algorithms has become an important research topic. In contrast to common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Manuel Madeira , Renato Negrinho , João Xavier , Pedro M. Q. Aguiar

We show that deliberately introducing a nested simulation stage can lead to significant variance reductions when comparing two stopping times by Monte Carlo. We derive the optimal number of nested simulations and prove that the algorithm is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-04 Fabian Dickmann , Nikolaus Schweizer