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There is increasing interest in flexible parametric models for the analysis of time-to-event data, yet Bayesian approaches that offer incorporation of prior knowledge remain underused. A flexible Bayesian parametric model has recently been…

There has been growing interest on forecasting mortality. In this article, we propose a novel dynamic Bayesian approach for modeling and forecasting the age-at-death distribution, focusing on a three-components mixture of a Dirac mass, a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-20 Emanuele Aliverti , Stefano Mazzuco , Bruno Scarpa

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

This paper describes a method for a model-based analysis of clinical safety data called multivariate Bayesian logistic regression (MBLR). Parallel logistic regression models are fit to a set of medically related issues, or response…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-02 William DuMouchel

Infectious disease models can be of great use for understanding the underlying mechanisms that influence the spread of diseases and predicting future disease progression. Modeling has been increasingly used to evaluate the potential impact…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-20 Md Mahsin , Rob Deardon , Patrick Brown

Racialized economic segregation, a key metric that simultaneously accounts for spatial, social and income polarization, has been linked to adverse health outcomes, including morbidity and mortality; however, statistical methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-21 Yang Xu , Loni Philip Tabb

In many clinical trials studying neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's disease (PD), multiple longitudinal outcomes are collected to fully explore the multidimensional impairment caused by this disease. If the outcomes deteriorate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-18 Jue Wang , Sheng Luo , Liang Li

This paper proposes a two-stage estimation approach for a spatial misalignment scenario that is motivated by the epidemiological problem of linking pollutant exposures and health outcomes. We use the integrated nested Laplace approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Stephen Jun Villejo , Janine B Illian , Ben Swallow

Indirect standardization is widely used in disease mapping to control for confounding, but relies on restrictive assumptions that may bias estimates if violated. Using data on suicide-related emergency calls, this study highlights such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 J. Martín-Pozuelo , A. López-Quílez , X. Barber , M. Marco

This study presents an integrated approach to understanding epidemic dynamics through a stochastic spatio-temporal simulation model on a multiplex network, blending physical and informational layers. The physical layer maps the geographic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-26 H. M. Shadman Tabib , Jaber Ahmed Deedar , K. M. Ariful Kabir

The long-term progression of neurodegenerative diseases is commonly conceptualized as a spatiotemporal diffusion process that consists of a graph diffusion process across the structural brain connectome and a localized reaction process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Tiantian He , Keyue Jiang , An Zhao , Anna Schroder , Elinor Thompson , Sonja Soskic , Frederik Barkhof , Daniel C. Alexander

Multimorbidity in older adults is common, heterogeneous, and highly dynamic, and it is strongly associated with disability and increased healthcare utilization. However, existing approaches to studying multimorbidity trajectories are…

This tutorial shows how various Bayesian survival models can be fitted using the integrated nested Laplace approximation in a clear, legible, and comprehensible manner using the INLA and INLAjoint R-packages. Such models include accelerated…

Geographic patterns in stroke mortality have been studied as far back as the 1960s, when a region of the southeastern United States became known as the "stroke belt" due to its unusually high rates of stroke mortality. While stroke…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Harrison Quick , Lance A. Waller , Michele Casper

Rapid developments in streaming data technologies have enabled real-time monitoring of human activity that can deliver high-resolution data on health variables over trajectories or paths carved out by subjects as they conduct their daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-11 Tomoya Wakayama , Sudipto Banerjee

The appropriateness of the Poisson model is frequently challenged when examining spatial count data marked by unbalanced distributions, over-dispersion, or under-dispersion. Moreover, traditional parametric models may inadequately capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Mahsa Nadifar , Andriette Bekker , Mohammad Arashi , Abel Ramoelo

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

Survival models are used to analyze time-to-event data in a variety of disciplines. Proportional hazard models provide interpretable parameter estimates, but proportional hazards assumptions are not always appropriate. Non-parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Bani K. Mallick

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

Regional aggregates of health outcomes over delineated administrative units (e.g., states, counties, zip codes), or areal units, are widely used by epidemiologists to map mortality or incidence rates and capture geographic variation. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Leiwen Gao , Sudipto Banerjee , Beate Ritz