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This study integrates a data-driven model for estimating the unfrozen water content into the thermo-hydraulic coupling simulation of frozen soils. An artificial neural network (ANN) was employed to develop this data-driven model using a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-08-05 Mingpeng Liu , Peizhi Zhuang , Raul Fuentes

Observations from the RAPID array near 26.5$^\circ$N indicate a linear decline in the AMOC over the past two decades, linked to contrasting boundary changes: a weakening western boundary contribution partly compensated by strengthening at…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-29 Qianjiang Xing , Shane Elipot , William E. Johns , Bablu Sinha , Jules Kajtar , Adam T. Blaker , Tillys Petit , Ben I. Moat , David A. Smeed

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

This paper develops a nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating spatial boundaries of treatment effects in settings with geographic spillovers. While atmospheric dispersion theory predicts exponential decay of pollution under…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

We analyse extreme daily minimum temperatures in winter months over the island of Ireland from 1950-2022. We model the marginal distributions of extreme winter minima using a generalised Pareto distribution (GPD), capturing temporal and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-07 Dáire Healy , Jonathan A. Tawn , Peter Thorne , Andrew Parnell

Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

Past research has shown that multiple climate subsystems might undergo abrupt shifts, such as the Arctic Winter sea ice or the Amazon rainforest, but there are large uncertainties regarding their timing and spatial extent. In this study we…

Using the ERA5 and JRA-55 reanalysis datasets on latitude bands of nearly equal area, we analyze the trend of 200 mbar zonal wind anomalies for the period 1958-2021 as well as annual-mean latitude of the polar jet stream. We find basically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-04-26 Nenghan Wan , Xiaomao Lin , Roger A. Pielke

This work has been accepted by IEEE TGRS for publication. The majority of optical observations acquired via spaceborne earth imagery are affected by clouds. While there is numerous prior work on reconstructing cloud-covered information,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-07 Patrick Ebel , Andrea Meraner , Michael Schmitt , Xiaoxiang Zhu

Both global, intermediate and local scales of Climate Change have been studied extensively, but a unified diagnostic framework for examining all spatial scales concurrently has remained elusive. Here we present a new tool-set using…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-19 Albert Sneppen

We introduce an extension of finite mixture models by incorporating skew-normal distributions within a Hidden Markov Model framework. By assuming a constant transition probability matrix and allowing emission distributions to vary according…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Andrea Nigri , Marco Forti , Han Lin Shang

There exists a large body of work on online drift detection with the goal of dynamically finding and maintaining changes in data streams. In this paper, we adopt a query-based approach to drift detection. Our approach relies on {\em a drift…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-05-16 Sofia Kleisarchaki , Sihem Amer-Yahia , Ahlame Douzal-Chouakria , Vassilis Christophides

Present grids of stellar atmosphere models are the workhorses in interpreting stellar observations, and determining their fundamental parameters. These models rely on greatly simplified models of convection, however, lending less predictive…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Regner Trampedach , Martin Asplund , Remo Collet , Åke Nordlund , Robert F. Stein

In a paper recently published in this journal, van Marle et al. (van Marle et al., 2022) introduce an interesting new data set for land use and land cover change CO2 emissions (LULCC) that they use to study whether a trend is present in the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-10 Mikkel Bennedsen , Eric Hillebrand , Siem Jan Koopman

In this paper, the authors develop a method of detecting correlations between epidemic patterns in different regions that are due to human movement and introduce a null model in which the travel-induced correlations are cancelled. They…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-06-24 Pascal Crépey , Marc Barthélemy

The Earth is a system of numerous interconnected spheres, such as the climate. Climate's global and regional influence requires understanding its evolution in space and time to improve knowledge and forecasts. Analyzing and studying decades…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-21 E Ankitha Reddy , KS Rajan

The Alaskan landscape has undergone substantial changes in recent decades, most notably the expansion of shrubs and trees across the Arctic. We developed a dynamic statistical model to quantify the impact of climate change on the structural…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-17 Xinyi Lu , Mevin B. Hooten , Ann M. Raiho , David K. Swanson , Carl A. Roland , Sarah E. Stehn

Observations and quantitative understanding of spatio-temporary variations in lower-stratospheric ozone and temperature can provide fingerprints for the mechanisms of ozone depletion and play an important role in testing the impact of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-01-07 Qing-Bin Lu

The spatiotemporally continuous data of normalized difference snow index (NDSI) are key to understanding the mechanisms of snow occurrence and development as well as the patterns of snow distribution changes. However, the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Fan Ye , Qing Cheng , Weifeng Hao , Dayu Yu
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