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We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is of great importance in recommendation systems and online advertising platforms. When served in industrial scenarios, the user-generated data observed by the CTR model typically arrives as a stream.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Congcong Liu , Fei Teng , Xiwei Zhao , Zhangang Lin , Jinghe Hu , Jingping Shao

Classifiers deployed in the real world operate in a dynamic environment, where the data distribution can change over time. These changes, referred to as concept drift, can cause the predictive performance of the classifier to drop over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-04 Tegjyot Singh Sethi , Mehmed Kantardzic

Many scientific and industrial processes produce data that is best analysed as vectors of relative values, often called compositions or proportions. The Dirichlet distribution is a natural distribution to use for composition or proportion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-15 Sean van der Merwe

Learning-to-learn or meta-learning leverages data-driven inductive bias to increase the efficiency of learning on a novel task. This approach encounters difficulty when transfer is not advantageous, for instance, when tasks are considerably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Ghassen Jerfel , Erin Grant , Thomas L. Griffiths , Katherine Heller

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

In the classic machine learning framework, models are trained on historical data and used to predict future values. It is assumed that the data distribution does not change over time (stationarity). However, in real-world scenarios, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Mansour Zoubeirou A Mayaki , Michel Riveill

The use of hierarchical mixture priors with shared atoms has recently flourished in the Bayesian literature for partially exchangeable data. Leveraging on nested levels of mixtures, these models allow the estimation of a two-layered data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Laura D'Angelo , Francesco Denti

Clustering multivariate binary data is of interest in many scientific fields, including ecology, biomedicine, and social policy. Beyond heuristic clustering algorithms, such data can be modelled using multivariate Bernoulli mixture models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Luisa Ferrari , Maria Franco Villoria , Garritt L. Page , Alex Laini

Concept drift detection has attracted considerable attention due to its importance in many real-world applications such as health monitoring and fault diagnosis. Conventionally, most advanced approaches will be of poor performance when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Songqiao Hu , Zeyi Liu , Xiao He

With the widespread success of deep neural networks in science and technology, it is becoming increasingly important to quantify the uncertainty of the predictions produced by deep learning. In this paper, we introduce a new method that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Qingyang Wu , He Li , Lexin Li , Zhou Yu

We present a mixed multinomial logit (MNL) model, which leverages the truncated stick-breaking process representation of the Dirichlet process as a flexible nonparametric mixing distribution. The proposed model is a Dirichlet process…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-22 Rico Krueger , Akshay Vij , Taha H. Rashidi

The Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) is a ubiquitous, flexible Bayesian nonparametric statistical model. However, full probabilistic inference in this model is analytically intractable, so that computationally intensive techniques such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Yordan P. Raykov , Alexis Boukouvalas , Max A. Little

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

In real-world applications, the process generating the data might suffer from nonstationary effects (e.g., due to seasonality, faults affecting sensors or actuators, and changes in the users' behaviour). These changes, often called concept…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Kleanthis Malialis , Manuel Roveri , Cesare Alippi , Christos G. Panayiotou , Marios M. Polycarpou

The exponential growth of data storage demands has necessitated the evolution of hierarchical storage management strategies [1]. This study explores the application of streaming machine learning [3] to revolutionize data prefetching within…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Chiyu Cheng , Chang Zhou , Yang Zhao , Jin Cao

We study the problem of learning in the presence of a drifting target concept. Specifically, we provide bounds on the error rate at a given time, given a learner with access to a history of independent samples labeled according to a target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-21 Steve Hanneke , Varun Kanade , Liu Yang

In data streams, the data distribution of arriving observations at different time points may change - a phenomenon called concept drift. While detecting concept drift is a relatively mature area of study, solutions to the uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Anjin Liu , Jie Lu , Guangquan Zhang

We derive and present explicit algorithms to facilitate streamlined computing for variational inference for models containing higher level random effects. Existing literature, such as Lee and Wand (2016), is such that streamlined…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-07 Tui H. Nolan , Marianne Menictas , Matt P. Wand

In this paper we propose Discretely Indexed flows (DIF) as a new tool for solving variational estimation problems. Roughly speaking, DIF are built as an extension of Normalizing Flows (NF), in which the deterministic transport becomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Elouan Argouarc'h , François Desbouvries , Eric Barat , Eiji Kawasaki , Thomas Dautremer
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