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Related papers: Improving the Reliability for Confidence Estimatio…

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Confidence estimation (CE) indicates how reliable the answers of large language models are and impacts user trust and decision-making. Existing evaluations mainly concern the alignment between confidence and correctness, but ignore the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yuxi Xia , Dennis Ulmer , Terra Blevins , Yihong Liu , Hinrich Schütze , Benjamin Roth

In learning problems, the noise inherent to the task at hand hinders the possibility to infer without a certain degree of uncertainty. Quantifying this uncertainty, regardless of its wide use, assumes high relevance for security-sensitive…

Truly reliable AI requires more than simply scaling up knowledge; it demands the ability to know what it knows and when it does not. Yet recent research shows that even the best LLMs misjudge their own competence in more than one in five…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sahil Kale , Devendra Singh Dhami

While Machine Learning (ML) technologies are widely adopted in many mission critical fields to support intelligent decision-making, concerns remain about system resilience against ML-specific security attacks and privacy breaches as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Pulei Xiong , Scott Buffett , Shahrear Iqbal , Philippe Lamontagne , Mohammad Mamun , Heather Molyneaux

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

Motivated by the increasing popularity of transformers in computer vision, in recent times there has been a rapid development of novel architectures. While in-domain performance follows a constant, upward trend, properties like robustness…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Pau de Jorge , Riccardo Volpi , Philip Torr , Gregory Rogez

We propose a new inferential framework for constructing confidence regions and testing hypotheses in statistical models specified by a system of high dimensional estimating equations. We construct an influence function by projecting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Matey Neykov , Yang Ning , Jun S. Liu , Han Liu

Large-scale pre-trained models have achieved remarkable success in many applications, but how to leverage them to improve the prediction reliability of downstream models is undesirably under-explored. Moreover, modern neural networks have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Peng Cui , Dan Zhang , Zhijie Deng , Yinpeng Dong , Jun Zhu

Over the last decade, the development of deep image classification networks has mostly been driven by the search for the best performance in terms of classification accuracy on standardized benchmarks like ImageNet. More recently, this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Kalun Ho , Franz-Josef Pfreundt , Janis Keuper , Margret Keuper

Safety-critical applications require machine learning models that output accurate and calibrated probabilities. While uncalibrated deep networks are known to make over-confident predictions, it is unclear how model confidence is impacted by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Yuan Zhao , Jiasi Chen , Samet Oymak

Data-driven methods have achieved notable performance on intent detection, which is a task to comprehend user queries. Nonetheless, they are controversial for over-confident predictions. In some scenarios, users do not only care about the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Yantao Gong , Cao Liu , Fan Yang , Xunliang Cai , Guanglu Wan , Jiansong Chen , Weipeng Zhang , Houfeng Wang

Generating confidence calibrated outputs is of utmost importance for the applications of deep neural networks in safety-critical decision-making systems. The output of a neural network is a probability distribution where the scores are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Chihuang Liu , Joseph JaJa

Graph convolutional networks produce good predictions of unlabeled samples due to its transductive label propagation. Since samples have different predicted confidences, we take high-confidence predictions as pseudo labels to expand the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Kun Zhan , Chaoxi Niu

Neural networks solving real-world problems are often required not only to make accurate predictions but also to provide a confidence level in the forecast. The calibration of a model indicates how close the estimated confidence is to the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Ruslan Vasilev , Alexander D'yakonov

Model evolution and constant availability of data are two common phenomena in large-scale real-world machine learning applications, e.g. ads and recommendation systems. To adapt, the real-world system typically retrain with all available…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Jian Zhu , Congcong Liu , Pei Wang , Xiwei Zhao , Zhangang Lin , Jingping Shao

Depth estimation is a fundamental task in 3D computer vision, crucial for applications such as 3D reconstruction, free-viewpoint rendering, robotics, autonomous driving, and AR/VR technologies. Traditional methods relying on hardware…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Zhen Xu , Hongyu Zhou , Sida Peng , Haotong Lin , Haoyu Guo , Jiahao Shao , Peishan Yang , Qinglin Yang , Sheng Miao , Xingyi He , Yifan Wang , Yue Wang , Ruizhen Hu , Yiyi Liao , Xiaowei Zhou , Hujun Bao

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have demonstrated strong capabilities in aligning visual and textual modalities, enabling a wide range of applications in multimodal understanding and generation. While they excel in zero-shot and transfer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Hao Dong , Moru Liu , Jian Liang , Eleni Chatzi , Olga Fink

Deep learning has led to state-of-the-art results for many medical imaging tasks, such as segmentation of different anatomical structures. With the increased numbers of deep learning publications and openly available code, the approach to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-19 Tom van Sonsbeek , Veronika Cheplygina

Ensembling is a successful technique to improve the performance of machine learning (ML) models. Conf-Ensemble is an adaptation to Boosting to create ensembles based on model confidence instead of model errors to better classify difficult…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Rafael Rosales , Peter Popov , Michael Paulitsch

Estimating uncertainty of machine learning models is essential to assess the quality of the predictions that these models provide. However, there are several factors that influence the quality of uncertainty estimates, one of which is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Yuko Kato , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog