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Real-world data often exhibits sequential dependence, across diverse domains such as human behavior, medicine, finance, and climate modeling. Probabilistic methods capture the inherent uncertainty associated with prediction in these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Alex Boyd

Continuous-time event sequences, i.e., sequences consisting of continuous time stamps and associated event types ("marks"), are an important type of sequential data with many applications, e.g., in clinical medicine or user behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-17 Alex Boyd , Yuxin Chang , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

Autoregressive neural network models have been used successfully for sequence generation, feature extraction, and hypothesis scoring. This paper presents yet another use for these models: allocating more computation to more difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Loren Lugosch , Derek Nowrouzezahrai , Brett H. Meyer

Neural marked temporal point processes have been a valuable addition to the existing toolbox of statistical parametric models for continuous-time event data. These models are useful for sequences where each event is associated with a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth

Autoregressive models are a class of generative model that probabilistically predict the next output of a sequence based on previous inputs. The autoregressive sequence is by definition one-dimensional (1D), which is natural for language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Yi Hong Teoh , Roger G. Melko

Natural language processing has greatly benefited from the introduction of the attention mechanism. However, standard attention models are of limited interpretability for tasks that involve a series of inference steps. We describe an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Martin Tutek , Jan Šnajder

This paper proposes an autoregressive (AR) model for sequences of graphs, which generalises traditional AR models. A first novelty consists in formalising the AR model for a very general family of graphs, characterised by a variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Daniele Zambon , Daniele Grattarola , Lorenzo Livi , Cesare Alippi

Existing sequence prediction methods are mostly concerned with time-independent sequences, in which the actual time span between events is irrelevant and the distance between events is simply the difference between their order positions in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Yang Li , Nan Du , Samy Bengio

Recently, there is great interest to investigate the application of deep learning models for the prediction of clinical events using electronic health records (EHR) data. In EHR data, a patient's history is often represented as a sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Laila Rasmy , Jie Zhu , Zhiheng Li , Xin Hao , Hong Thoai Tran , Yujia Zhou , Firat Tiryaki , Yang Xiang , Hua Xu , Degui Zhi

Recent years have seen a paradigm shift in NLP towards using pretrained language models ({PLM}) for a wide range of tasks. However, there are many difficult design decisions to represent structures (e.g. tagged text, coreference chains) in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Tianyu Liu , Yuchen Jiang , Nicholas Monath , Ryan Cotterell , Mrinmaya Sachan

Conditional neural processes (CNPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a) are attractive meta-learning models which produce well-calibrated predictions and are trainable via a simple maximum likelihood procedure. Although CNPs have many advantages, they…

Autoregressive models have demonstrated great performance in natural language processing (NLP) with impressive scalability, adaptability and generalizability. Inspired by their notable success in NLP field, autoregressive models have been…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Kai Jiang , Jiaxing Huang

Autoregressive modeling has been a huge success in the field of natural language processing (NLP). Recently, autoregressive models have emerged as a significant area of focus in computer vision, where they excel in producing high-quality…

Neural networks are becoming a popular tool for solving many real-world problems such as object recognition and machine translation, thanks to its exceptional performance as an end-to-end solution. However, neural networks are complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Guoliang Dong , Jingyi Wang , Jun Sun , Yang Zhang , Xinyu Wang , Ting Dai , Jin Song Dong , Xingen Wang

Numerous applications of machine learning involve representing probability distributions over high-dimensional data. We propose autoregressive quantile flows, a flexible class of normalizing flow models trained using a novel objective based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Phillip Si , Allan Bishop , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Recurrent neural networks are used to forecast time series in finance, climate, language, and from many other domains. Reservoir computers are a particularly easily trainable form of recurrent neural network. Recently, a "next-generation"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Sarah E. Marzen , Paul M. Riechers , James P. Crutchfield

Predictive models in acute care settings must be able to immediately recognize precipitous changes in a patient's status when presented with data reflecting such changes. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have become common for training and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 David Ledbetter , Eugene Laksana , Melissa Aczon , Randall Wetzel

Standard autoregressive language models perform only polynomial-time computation to compute the probability of the next symbol. While this is attractive, it means they cannot model distributions whose next-symbol probability is hard to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Chu-Cheng Lin , Aaron Jaech , Xin Li , Matthew R. Gormley , Jason Eisner

Time series models aim for accurate predictions of the future given the past, where the forecasts are used for important downstream tasks like business decision making. In practice, deep learning based time series models come in many forms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Kashif Rasul , Young-Jin Park , Max Nihlén Ramström , Kyung-Min Kim

Context information around words helps in determining their actual meaning, for example "networks" used in contexts of artificial neural networks or biological neuron networks. Generative topic models infer topic-word distributions, taking…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Pankaj Gupta , Florian Buettner , Hinrich Schütze
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