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This paper studies a stochastic model that describes the evolution of vehicle densities in a road network. It is consistent with the class of (deterministic) kinematic wave models, which describe traffic flows on the basis of conservation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Michel Mandjes , Jaap Storm

Model uncertainties and simulation uncertainties occur in mathematical modeling of multiscale complex systems, since some mechanisms or scales are not represented (i.e., "unresolved") due to lack in our understanding of these mechanisms or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

The Galerkin method is used to derive a realistic model of plane Couette flow in terms of partial differential equations governing the space-time dependence of the amplitude of a few cross-stream modes. Numerical simulations show that it…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2008-11-25 M. Lagha , P. Manneville

Many systems such as autonomous vehicles and quadrotors are subject to parametric uncertainties and external disturbances. These uncertainties can lead to undesired performance degradation and safety issues. Therefore, it is important to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-09 Huishan Chen , Zheng Zhang

In uncertainty quantification, a stochastic modelling is often applied, where parameters are substituted by random variables. We investigate linear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations with a quantity of interest as output.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Roland Pulch , Akil Narayan

A most important aspect in the field of traffic modeling is the simulation of bottleneck situations. For their realistic description a macroscopic multi-lane model for uni-directional freeways including acceleration, deceleration, velocity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

A discrete model of traffic on a multilane road is considered. The traffic is presented as particles movement with a deterministic component and a stochastic one. Formulas for the traffic characteristics have been found. The model can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 A. P. Buslaev , V. M. Prikhodko , A. G. Tatashev , M. V. Yashina

In this paper, a physics-oriented stochastic kinetic scheme will be developed that includes random inputs from both flow and electromagnetic fields via a hybridization of stochastic Galerkin and collocation methods. Based on the BGK-type…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Tianbai Xiao , Martin Frank

Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps with understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Renátó Besenczi , Norbert Bátfai , Péter Jeszenszky , Roland Major , Fanny Monori , Márton Ispány

Due to significant manufacturing process variations, the performance of integrated circuits (ICs) has become increasingly uncertain. Such uncertainties must be carefully quantified with efficient stochastic circuit simulators. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-18 Zheng Zhang , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

In this work we investigate the ability of a kinetic approach for traffic dynamics to predict speed distributions obtained through rough data. The present approach adopts the formalism of uncertainty quantification, since reaction strengths…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-04-07 M. Herty , A. Tosin , G. Visconti , M. Zanella

We study uncertainty quantification for a Boltzmann-Poisson system that models electron transport in semiconductors and the physical collision mechanisms over the charges. We use the stochastic Galerkin method in order to handle the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Jose A. Morales Escalante , Clemens Heitzinger

In the present paper a review and numerical comparison of a special class of multi-phase traffic theories based on microscopic, kinetic and macroscopic traffic models is given. Macroscopic traffic equations with multi-valued fundamental…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Raul Borsche , Mark Kimathi , Axel Klar

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

We develop a stochastic Galerkin method for a coupled Navier-Stokes-cloud system that models dynamics of warm clouds. Our goal is to explicitly describe the evolution of uncertainties that arise due to unknown input data, such as model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-20 A. Chertock , A. Kurganov , M. Lukáčová-Medviďová , P. Spichtinger , B. Wiebe

We develop a probabilistic framework for global modeling of the traffic over a computer network. This model integrates existing single-link (-flow) traffic models with the routing over the network to capture the global traffic behavior. It…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-05-25 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Joel Vaughan

We present a method for linear stability analysis of systems with parametric uncertainty formulated in the stochastic Galerkin framework. Specifically, we assume that for a model partial differential equation, the parameter is given in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Bedřich Sousedík , Kookjin Lee

Accurate modeling of contamination in subsurface flow and water aquifers is crucial for agriculture and environmental protection. Here, we demonstrate a parallel method to quantify the propagation of the uncertainty in the dispersal of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Alexander Litvinenko , Dmitry Logashenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum , David Keyes

We review opportunities for stochastic geometric mechanics to incorporate observed data into variational principles, in order to derive data-driven nonlinear dynamical models of effects on the variability of computationally resolvable…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-28 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

In this paper we present a non-local numerical scheme based on the Local Discontinuous Galerkin method for a non-local diffusive partial differential equation with application to traffic flow. In this model, the velocity is determined by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 D. Do , H. Nick Zinat Matin , M. L. Delle Monache