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We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

We investigate the behaviour of cryptocurrencies using data for bitcoin, ethereum and ripple which account for over 70% of the cryptocurrency market. We demonstrate that $\alpha$-stable distribution is an appropriately sufficient model for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-31 Taurai Muvunza

We study an optimal control problem on infinite time horizon with semimartingale strategies, random coefficients and regime switching. The value function and the optimal strategy can be characterized in terms of three systems of backward…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Xinman Cheng , Guanxing Fu , Xiaonyu Xia

This paper introduces a method of identifying a maximal set of safe strategies from data for stochastic systems with unknown dynamics using barrier certificates. The first step is learning the dynamics of the system via Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Rayan Mazouz , John Skovbekk , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Eric Frew , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

In the theory of dynamic programming, an optimal policy is a policy whose lifetime value dominates that of all other policies from every possible initial condition in the state space. This raises a natural question: when does optimality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 John Stachurski , Jingni Yang , Ziyue Yang

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are one of the most controversial and complex technological innovations in today's financial system. This study aims to forecast the movements of Bitcoin prices at a high degree of accuracy. To this aim,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Hakan Pabuccu , Serdar Ongan , Ayse Ongan

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 N. Lazrieva , T. Toronjadze

With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the agent minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Gu Wang

Distributed Key Generation (DKG) is an extensively researched topic as it is fundamental to threshold cryptosystems. Emerging technologies such as blockchains benefit massively from applying threshold cryptography in consensus protocols,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Michael Sober , Max Kobelt , Giulia Scaffino , Dominik Kaaser , Stefan Schulte

State-of-the-art approaches to optimal control use smooth approximations of value and policy functions and gradient-based algorithms for improving approximator parameters. Unfortunately, we show that value and policy functions that arise in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-08-29 Bora S. Banjanin , Samuel A. Burden

Dynamically distributed inflation is a common mechanism used to guide a blockchain's staking rate towards a desired equilibrium between network security and token liquidity. However, the high sensitivity of the annual percentage yield to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Carlo Brunetta , Amit Chaudhary , Stefano Galatolo , Massimiliano Sala

We study continuity and robustness properties of infinite-horizon average expected cost problems with respect to (controlled) transition kernels, and applications of these results to the problem of robustness of control policies designed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-22 Ali Devran Kara , Maxim Raginsky , Serdar Yuksel

We study a stochastic game framework with dynamic set of players, for modeling and analyzing their computational investment strategies in distributed computing. Players obtain a certain reward for solving the problem or for providing their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Swapnil Dhamal , Walid Ben-Ameur , Tijani Chahed , Eitan Altman , Albert Sunny , Sudheer Poojary

Economists often estimate economic models on data and use the point estimates as a stand-in for the truth when studying the model's implications for optimal decision-making. This practice ignores model ambiguity, exposes the decision…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-07 Maximilian Blesch , Philipp Eisenhauer

We study optimal execution in markets with transient price impact in a competitive setting with $N$ traders. Motivated by prior negative results on the existence of pure Nash equilibria, we consider randomized strategies for the traders and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Steven Campbell , Marcel Nutz

Matching algorithms have demonstrated great success in several practical applications, but they often require centralized coordination and plentiful information. In many modern online marketplaces, agents must independently seek out and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Vade Shah , Bryce L. Ferguson , Jason R. Marden

We consider an optimal control problem for a non-autonomous model of ODEs that describes the evolution of the number of customers in some firm. Namely we study the best marketing strategy. Considering a $L^2$ cost functional, we establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-16 S. Rosa , P. Rebelo , C. M. Silva , H. Alves , P. G. Carvalho

Many techniques originally developed in the context of deterministic control theory have been recently applied to the quest for optimal protocols in stochastic processes. Given a system subject to environmental fluctuations, one may ask…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-15 Dario Lucente , Alessandro Manacorda , Andrea Plati , Alessandro Sarracino , Marco Baldovin

The dynamic portfolio optimization problem in finance frequently requires learning policies that adhere to various constraints, driven by investor preferences and risk. We motivate this problem of finding an allocation policy within a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Nymisha Bandi , Theja Tulabandhula

This paper addresses the portfolio selection problem for nonlinear law-dependent preferences in continuous time, which inherently exhibit time inconsistency. Employing the method of stochastic maximum principle, we establish verification…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-15 Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia , Fengyi Yuan