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This paper proposes strategies for designing a system whose computational model is subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory variables, which are caused by randomness in physical parameters, are draws from a possibly unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Luis G. Crespo

In this paper, we provide a compositional approach for constructing finite abstractions (a.k.a. finite Markov decision processes (MDPs)) of interconnected discrete-time stochastic switched systems. The proposed framework is based on a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-30 Abolfazl Lavaei , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

We consider the adaptive control problem for discrete-time, nonlinear stochastic systems with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming access to a parameterised family of controllers that can stabilise the system in a bounded set within…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

We propose a robust model predictive control (MPC) method for discrete-time linear systems with polytopic model uncertainty and additive disturbances. Optimizing over linear time-varying (LTV) state feedback controllers has been…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-28 Shaoru Chen , Victor M. Preciado , Manfred Morari , Nikolai Matni

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

Reliable optimal control is challenging when the dynamics of a nonlinear system are unknown and only infrequent, noisy output measurements are available. This work addresses this setting of limited sensing by formulating a Bayesian prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Robert Lefringhausen , Theodor Springer , Sandra Hirche

Quantifying model uncertainty is critical for understanding prediction reliability, yet distinguishing between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty remains challenging. We extend recent work from classification to regression to provide a…

This paper presents an algorithm to apply nonlinear control design approaches in the case of stochastic systems with partial state observation. Deterministic nonlinear control approaches are formulated under the assumption of full state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Mohammad Alsuwaidan , Ahmed Atallah , Sylvia Herbert

Recent studies have demonstrated the potential of flexible loads in providing frequency response services. However, uncertainty and variability in various weather-related and end-use behavioral factors often affect the demand-side control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-29 Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Soumya Kundu , Jianming Lian , Umesh Vaidya , Draguna Vrabie , Karanjit Kalsi

In this paper, we consider an integrated MSP-MDP framework which captures features of Markov decision process (MDP) and multistage stochastic programming (MSP). The integrated framework allows one to study a dynamic decision-making process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Zhiyao Yang , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu

Uncertainties influencing the dynamical systems pose a significant challenge in estimating the achievable performance of a controller aiming to control such uncertain systems. When the uncertainties are of stochastic nature, obtaining hard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Venkatraman Renganathan

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

This work establishes a crucial step toward advancing data-driven trajectory-based methods for stochastic systems with unknown mathematical dynamics. In contrast to scenario-based approaches that rely on independent and identically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Abolfazl Lavaei

Uncertainty propagation in high-dimensional nonlinear dynamic structural systems is pivotal in state-of-the-art performance-based design and risk assessment, where uncertainties from both excitations and structures, i.e., the aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Manisha Sapkota , Min Li , Bowei Li

We present a data-driven approach for producing policies that are provably robust across unknown stochastic environments. Existing approaches can learn models of a single environment as an interval Markov decision processes (IMDP) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Yannik Schnitzer , Alessandro Abate , David Parker

We consider perception-based control using state estimates that are obtained from high-dimensional sensor measurements via learning-enabled perception maps. However, these perception maps are not perfect and result in state estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-29 Shuo Yang , George J. Pappas , Rahul Mangharam , Lars Lindemann

This paper is concerned with a compositional approach for constructing both infinite (reduced-order models) and finite abstractions (a.k.a. finite Markov decision processes (MDPs)) of large-scale interconnected discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Abolfazl Lavaei , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

Given a Markov decision process (MDP) and a linear-time ($\omega$-regular or LTL) specification, the controller synthesis problem aims to compute the optimal policy that satisfies the specification. More recently, problems that reason over…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-08 Alvaro Velasquez , Ismail Alkhouri , Andre Beckus , Ashutosh Trivedi , George Atia

We provide a method to design adaptive controllers for nonlinear systems using model predictive control (MPC). By combining a certainty-equivalent MPC formulation with least-mean-square parameter adaptation, we obtain an adaptive controller…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Johannes Köhler