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Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

Dynamical system models with delayed dynamics and small noise arise in a variety of applications in science and engineering. In many applications, stable equilibrium or periodic behavior is critical to a well functioning system. Sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 David Lipshutz

This paper considers a linear regression model with an endogenous regressor which arises from a nonlinear transformation of a latent variable. It is shown that the corresponding coefficient can be consistently estimated without external…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Jörg Breitung , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

Many engineered physical processes exhibit nonlinear but asymptotically stable dynamics that converge to a finite set of equilibria determined by control inputs. Identifying such systems from data is challenging: stable dynamics provide…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Ike Griss Salas , Ethan King

Learning nonparametric systems of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) dot x = f(t,x) from noisy data is an emerging machine learning topic. We use the well-developed theory of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS) to define candidates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Kamel Lahouel , Michael Wells , Victor Rielly , Ethan Lew , David Lovitz , Bruno M. Jedynak

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a non-negative solution to a possibly under-determined system of linear equations with known coefficients. This hypothesis testing problem arises naturally in a number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Zheng Fang , Andres Santos , Azeem M. Shaikh , Alexander Torgovitsky

Recent advancements in machine learning have transformed the discovery of physical laws, moving from manual derivation to data-driven methods that simultaneously learn both the structure and parameters of governing equations. This shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Hillary Hauger , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

We develop a numerical method to reconstruct systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from time series data without {\it a priori} knowledge of the underlying ODEs using sparse basis learning and sparse function reconstruction. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-19 Manuel Mai , Mark D. Shattuck , Corey S. O'Hern

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) is widely used in modeling biological and physical processes in science. In this article, we propose a new reproducing kernel-based approach for estimation and inference of ODE given noisy observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Xiaowu Dai , Lexin Li

Causal inference in continuous-time sequential decision problems is challenged by hidden confounders. We show that, in latent state-space models with time-varying interventions, observability of the latent dynamics from observed data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jennifer Wendland , Nicolas Freitag , Maik Kschischo

A significant challenge in many fields of science and engineering is making sense of time-dependent measurement data by recovering governing equations in the form of differential equations. We focus on finding parsimonious ordinary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Doris Voina , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

This paper studies the properties of debiased machine learning (DML) estimators under a novel asymptotic framework, offering insights for improving the performance of these estimators in applications. DML is an estimation method suited to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-05 Amilcar Velez

Learning models of dynamical systems with external inputs, which may be, for example, nonsmooth or piecewise, is crucial for studying complex phenomena and predicting future state evolution, which is essential for applications such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Zhaoyi Li , Wenjie Mei , Ke Yu , Yang Bai , Shihua Li

Estimating the causal structure of observational data is a challenging combinatorial search problem that scales super-exponentially with graph size. Existing methods use continuous relaxations to make this problem computationally tractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Hamidreza Kamkari , Vahid Balazadeh , Vahid Zehtab , Rahul G. Krishnan

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) provide a powerful framework for modeling dynamic systems arising in a wide range of scientific domains. However, most existing ODE methods focus on a single system, and do not adequately address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Shuoxun Xu , Zijian Guo , Brooke R. Staveland , Robert T. Knight , Lexin Li

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas
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