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In this paper, we propose a data-adaptive empirical likelihood-based approach for treatment effect estimation and inference, which overcomes the obstacle of the traditional empirical likelihood-based approaches in the high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Wei Liang , Ying Yan

In observational causal inference, in order to emulate a randomized experiment, weights are used to render treatments independent of observed covariates. This property is known as balance; in its absence, estimated causal effects may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 David Arbour , Drew Dimmery , Arjun Sondhi

We develop methods to analyze clustered competing risks data when the event types are only available in a training dataset and are missing in the main study. We propose to estimate the exposure effects through the cause-specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Yujie Wu , Molin Wang

There are several estimators of conditional probability from observed frequencies of features. In this paper, we propose using the lower limit of confidence interval on posterior distribution determined by the observed frequencies to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Masato Kikuchi , Eiko Yamamoto , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

A probabilistic expert system emulates the decision-making ability of a human expert through a directional graphical model. The first step in building such systems is to understand data generation mechanism. To this end, one may try to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Vahid Partovi Nia , Xinlin Li , Masoud Asgharian , Shoubo Hu , Zhitang Chen , Yanhui Geng

The empirical risk minimization approach to data-driven decision making requires access to training data drawn under the same conditions as those that will be faced when the decision rule is deployed. However, in a number of settings, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Roshni Sahoo , Lihua Lei , Stefan Wager

In this paper, we propose a method of estimating individual micro data from aggregated open data based on semi-supervised learning and conditional probability. Firstly, the proposed method collects aggregated open data and support data,…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-12-20 Han-mook Yoo , Han-joon Kim , Jonghoon Chun

Bivariate ordered logistic models (BOLMs) are appealing to jointly model the marginal distribution of two ordered responses and their association, given a set of covariates. When the number of categories of the responses increases, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Marco Enea , Gianfranco Lovison

In this paper, we consider risk-sensitive sequential decision-making in Reinforcement Learning (RL). Our contributions are two-fold. First, we introduce a novel and coherent quantification of risk, namely composite risk, which quantifies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Hannes Eriksson , Debabrota Basu , Mina Alibeigi , Christos Dimitrakakis

Machine learning algorithms have grown in sophistication over the years and are increasingly deployed for real-life applications. However, when using machine learning techniques in practical settings, particularly in high-risk applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Sukrita Singh , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Li , Agni Orfanoudaki , Michael Berger

In big data analysis, a simple task such as linear regression can become very challenging as the variable dimension $p$ grows. As a result, variable screening is inevitable in many scientific studies. In recent years, randomized algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-13 Yu-Hsiang Cheng , Tzee-Ming Huang , Su-Yun Huang

Classifications organize entities into categories that identify similarities within a category and discern dissimilarities among categories, and they powerfully classify information in support of analysis. We propose a new classification…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Casey Garner , Allen Holder

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

Functional graphical models explore dependence relationships of random processes. This is achieved through estimating the precision matrix of the coefficients from the Karhunen-Loeve expansion. This paper deals with the problem of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-14 Ilias Moysidis , Bing Li

The estimation of cumulative distribution functions (CDF) is an important learning task with a great variety of downstream applications, such as risk assessments in predictions and decision making. In this paper, we study functional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Qian Zhang , Anuran Makur , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

In this paper we study the volatility and its probability distribution function for the cumulative production based on the experience curve hypothesis. This work presents a generalization of the study of volatility in [1], which addressed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Rubina Zadourian , Andreas Klümper

Often the rows (cases, objects) of a dataset have weights. For instance, the weight of a case may reflect the number of times it has been observed, or its reliability. For analyzing such data many rowwise weighted techniques are available,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Peter J. Rousseeuw

We propose a novel classification technique whose aim is to select an appropriate representation for each datapoint, in contrast to the usual approach of selecting a representation encompassing the whole dataset. This datum-wise…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-02 Gabriel Dulac-Arnold , Ludovic Denoyer , Philippe Preux , Patrick Gallinari

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Random forest is a popular prediction approach for handling high dimensional covariates. However, it often becomes infeasible to interpret the obtained high dimensional and non-parametric model. Aiming for obtaining an interpretable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed