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Wasserstein geometry and information geometry are two important structures introduced in a manifold of probability distributions. The former is defined by using the transportation cost between two distributions, so it reflects the metric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Shun-ichi Amari

The manifold of empirical mean values of statistical data ad infinitum has a geometric shape that depends on the probability measure that governs the generating model. Large deviation theory produces entropy functions that depend on both…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Viswa Virinchi Muppirala , Hong Qian

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

The aim of this paper is to show the interest in fitting features with an $\alpha$-stable distribution to classify imperfect data. The supervised pattern recognition is thus based on the theory of continuous belief functions, which is a way…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Anthony Fiche , Jean-Christophe Cexus , Arnaud Martin , Ali Khenchaf

Observational astrophysics consists of making inferences about the Universe by comparing data and models. The credible intervals placed on model parameters are often as important as the maximum a posteriori probability values, as the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Will J. Percival , Oliver Friedrich , Elena Sellentin , Alan Heavens

Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf

Computing posterior distributions in large-scale Bayesian linear inverse problems is challenging due to the high dimensionality of the parameter space. In this work, we develop a data-informed framework that shifts the computational focus…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Haibo Li

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale inference, yet most classical approaches assume homoscedastic observations and focus primarily on posterior mean estimation. We develop a nonparametric empirical Bayes framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zhigen Zhao , Shonosuke Sugaasawa

Beyond estimating parameters of interest from data, one of the key goals of statistical inference is to properly quantify uncertainty in these estimates. In Bayesian inference, this uncertainty is provided by the posterior distribution, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Daniela de Albuquerque , John Pearson

Learning a privacy-preserving model from sensitive data which are distributed across multiple devices is an increasingly important problem. The problem is often formulated in the federated learning context, with the aim of learning a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Mikko A. Heikkilä , Matthew Ashman , Siddharth Swaroop , Richard E. Turner , Antti Honkela

When prior information is lacking, the go-to strategy for probabilistic inference is to combine a "default prior" and the likelihood via Bayes's theorem. Objective Bayes, (generalized) fiducial inference, etc. fall under this umbrella. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Ryan Martin

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

The prior distribution on parameters of a sampling distribution is the usual starting point for Bayesian uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we present a different perspective which focuses on missing observations as the source of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Stephen G. Walker

We develop an iterative framework for Bayesian inference problems where the posterior distribution may involve computationally intensive models, intractable gradients, significant posterior concentration, and pronounced non-Gaussianity. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-16 Daniel Sharp , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Youssef Marzouk

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Feature extraction - the ability to identify relevant properties of data - is a key factor underlying the success of deep learning. Yet, it has proved difficult to elucidate its nature within existing predictive theories, to the extent that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-08-29 Andrea Corti , Rosalba Pacelli , Pietro Rotondo , Marco Gherardi

How can we efficiently gather information to optimize an unknown function, when presented with multiple, mutually dependent information sources with different costs? For example, when optimizing a robotic system, intelligently trading off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Jialin Song , Yuxin Chen , Yisong Yue

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne
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