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In finite samples, the use of a slightly endogenous but highly relevant instrument can reduce mean-squared error (MSE). Building on this observation, I propose a novel moment selection procedure for GMM -- the Focused Moment Selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Francis J. DiTraglia

Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) has many good properties. For example, the asymptotic variance of MLE solution attains equality of the asymptotic Cram{\'e}r-Rao lower bound (efficiency bound), which is the minimum possible variance for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Song Liu , Takafumi Kanamori , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yu Chen

We revisit the problem of parameter estimation for discrete probability distributions with values in $\mathbb{Z}^d$. To this end, we adapt a technique called Stein's Method of Moments to discrete distributions which often gives closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Adrian Fischer

Dose selection is critical in pharmaceutical drug development, as it directly impacts therapeutic efficacy and patient safety of a drug. The Generalized Multiple Comparison Procedures and Modeling (MCP-Mod) approach is commonly used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Lukas Pin , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Frank Bretz , Björn Bornkamp

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

The large-sample properties of likelihood-based statistical inference under mixture models have received much attention from statisticians. Although the consistency of the nonparametric MLE is regarded as a standard conclusion, many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Jiahua Chen

Massive data analysis becomes increasingly prevalent, subsampling methods like BLB (Bag of Little Bootstraps) serves as powerful tools for assessing the quality of estimators for massive data. However, the performance of the subsampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-14 Yingying Ma , Hansheng Wang

Large Language Models (LLMs) are widely used to evaluate natural language generation tasks as automated metrics. However, the likelihood, a measure of LLM's plausibility for a sentence, can vary due to superficial differences in sentences,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Masanari Oi , Masahiro Kaneko , Ryuto Koike , Mengsay Loem , Naoaki Okazaki

Statistical inference of multiple parameters often involves a preliminary parameter selection stage. The selection stage has an impact on subsequent estimation, for example by introducing a selection bias. The post-selection maximum…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-22 Nadav Harel , Tirza Routtenberg

Growth in both size and complexity of modern data challenges the applicability of traditional likelihood-based inference. Composite likelihood (CL) methods address the difficulties related to model selection and computational intractability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari

In small area estimation, it is a smart strategy to rely on data measured over time. However, linear mixed models struggle to properly capture time dependencies when the number of lags is large. Given the lack of published studies…

The Median Based Unit Weibull is a new 2 parameter unit Weibull distribution defined on the unit interval (0,1). Estimation of the parameters using MLE encountered some problems like large variance. Using generalized method of moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Iman Mohamed Attia

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network models have become the cornerstone for sequential data modeling in numerous applications, ranging from natural language processing to time series forecasting. Despite their success, the problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Fahad Mostafa

Continuous-time reinforcement learning (CTRL) provides a natural framework for sequential decision-making in dynamic environments where interactions evolve continuously over time. While CTRL has shown growing empirical success, its ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Runze Zhao , Yue Yu , Ruhan Wang , Chunfeng Huang , Dongruo Zhou

Success in modeling complex phenomena such as human perception hinges critically on the availability of data and computational power. Significant progress has been made in modeling such phenomena using probabilistic methods, particularly in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-20 Danh-Tai Hoang , Juyong Song , Vipul Periwal , Junghyo Jo

Since the recent study (Krichene and Rendle 2020) done by Krichene and Rendle on the sampling-based top-k evaluation metric for recommendation, there has been a lot of debates on the validity of using sampling to evaluate recommendation…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Ruoming Jin , Dong Li , Benjamin Mudrak , Jing Gao , Zhi Liu

Estimation of autocorrelations and spectral densities is of fundamental importance in many fields of science, from identifying pulsar signals in astronomy to measuring heart beats in medicine. In circumstances where one is interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-22 C. H. Fleming , J. M. Calabrese

Latent feature models (LFM)s are widely employed for extracting latent structures of data. While offering high, parameter estimation is difficult with LFMs because of the combinational nature of latent features, and non-identifiability is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Ryota Suzuki , Shingo Takahashi , Murtuza Petladwala , Shigeru Kohmoto

We analyze differences between two information-theoretically motivated approaches to statistical inference and model selection: the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle, and the Minimum Message Length (MML) principle. Based on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Peter D Grunwald , Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Tomi Silander , Henry Tirri
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