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A non-Markovian counting process, the `generalized fractional Poisson process' (GFPP) introduced by Cahoy and Polito in 2013 is analyzed. The GFPP contains two index parameters $0<\beta\leq 1$, $\alpha >0$ and a time scale parameter.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thomas M. Michelitsch , Alejandro P. Riascos

In this paper, we first propose an unconditionally stable implicit difference scheme for solving generalized time-space fractional diffusion equations (GTSFDEs) with variable coefficients. The numerical scheme utilizes the $L1$-type formula…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Xian-Ming Gu , Ting-Zhu Huang , Yong-Liang Zhao , Pin Lyu , Bruno Carpentieri

As the amount and complexity of available data increases, the need for robust statistical learning becomes more pressing. To enhance resilience against model misspecification, the generalized posterior inference method adjusts the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-04 Masahiro Tanaka

The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Neha Gupta , Claudio Macci

Conformal Prediction is a framework that produces prediction intervals based on the output from a machine learning algorithm. In this paper we explore the case when training data is made up of multiple parts available in different sources…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-16 Ola Spjuth , Robin Carrión Brännström , Lars Carlsson , Niharika Gauraha

Generalised hyperbolic (GH) processes are a class of stochastic processes that are used to model the dynamics of a wide range of complex systems that exhibit heavy-tailed behavior, including systems in finance, economics, biology, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Yaman Kindap , Simon Godsill

We survey the 'generalized fractional Poisson process' (GFPP). The GFPP is a renewal process generalizing Laskin's fractional Poisson counting process and was first introduced by Cahoy and Polito. The GFPP contains two index parameters with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-02 Thomas M. Michelitsch , Alejandro P. Riascos

The partial differential equation of Gaussian diffusion is generalized by using the time-fractional derivative of distributed order between 0 and 1, in both the Riemann-Liouville (R-L) and the Caputo (C) sense. For a general distribution of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-27 Francesco Mainardi , Antonio Mura , Gianni Pagnini , Rudolf Gorenflo

Generalized (non-Markovian) diffusion equations with different memory kernels and subordination schemes based on random time change in the Brownian diffusion process are popular mathematical tools for description of a variety of non-Fickian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-24 A. Chechkin , I. M. Sokolov

We consider here point processes $N^f(t)$, $t>0$, with independent increments and integer-valued jumps whose distribution is expressed in terms of Bern\v{s}tein functions $f$ with L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain the general expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Enzo Orsingher , Bruno Toaldo

The definition of generalized random processes in Gel'fand sense allows to extend well-known stochastic models, such as the fractional Brownian motion, and study the related fractional pde's, as well as stochastic differential equations in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Federico Polito

We adopt Gaussian Processes (GPs) as latent functions for probabilistic forecasting of intermittent time series. The model is trained in a Bayesian framework that accounts for the uncertainty about the latent function. We couple the latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-28 Stefano Damato , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

In this article, a generalized inverse xgamma distribution (GIXGD) has been introduced as the generalized version of the inverse xgamma distribution. The proposed model exhibits the pattern of non-monotone hazard rate and belongs to family…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-13 Harsh Tripathi , Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Mahendra Saha , Sumit Kumar

We consider the consistency properties of a regularised estimator for the simultaneous identification of both changepoints and graphical dependency structure in multivariate time-series. Traditionally, estimation of Gaussian Graphical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Alex J. Gibberd , Sandipan Roy

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

This work is concerned with fractional stochastic differential equations with different scales. We establish the existence and uniqueness of solutions for Caputo fractional stochastic differential systems under the non-Lipschitz condition.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Zhaoyang Wang , Ping Lin

We introduce a new test for conditional independence which is based on what we call the weighted generalised covariance measure (WGCM). It is an extension of the recently introduced generalised covariance measure (GCM). To test the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Cyrill Scheidegger , Julia Hörrmann , Peter Bühlmann

The Gaussian process (GP) is a nonparametric prior distribution over functions indexed by time, space, or other high-dimensional index set. The GP is a flexible model yet its limitation is given by its very nature: it can only model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-15 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

In this work, we derived a transport equation based on a generalized equation of time-dependent generator coordinate method (TDGCM) under the Gaussian overlap approximation (GOA). The transport equation is obtained by using…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-01-03 Fangyuan Wang , Yingxun Zhang , Zhipan Li