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Confidence interval procedures used in low dimensional settings are often inappropriate for high dimensional applications. When a large number of parameters are estimated, marginal confidence intervals associated with the most significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-24 Jean Morrison , Noah Simon

Predict a new response from a covariate is a challenging task in regression, which raises new question since the era of high-dimensional data. In this paper, we are interested in the inverse regression method from a theoretical viewpoint.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Emilie Devijver , Emeline Perthame

We derive non-asymptotic confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependence structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric bounded distribution, and we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Many high-dimensional data sets suffer from hidden confounding which affects both the predictors and the response of interest. In such situations, standard regression methods or algorithms lead to biased estimates. This paper substantially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Cyrill Scheidegger , Zijian Guo , Peter Bühlmann

To identify the estimand in missing data problems and observational studies, it is common to base the statistical estimation on the "missing at random" and "no unmeasured confounder" assumptions. However, these assumptions are unverifiable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 Qingyuan Zhao , Dylan S. Small , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

Data-driven decision making frequently relies on predicting counterfactual outcomes. In practice, researchers commonly train counterfactual prediction models on a source dataset to inform decisions on a possibly separate target population.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Keith Barnatchez , Kevin P. Josey , Rachel C. Nethery , Giovanni Parmigiani

The problem of guaranteed parameter estimation (GPE) consists in enclosing the set of all possible parameter values, such that the model predictions match the corresponding measurements within prescribed error bounds. One of the bottlenecks…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Junyan Su , Yanlin Zha , Kai Wang , Mario E. Villanueva , Radoslav Paulen , Boris Houska

Score-based generative modeling, informally referred to as diffusion models, continue to grow in popularity across several important domains and tasks. While they provide high-quality and diverse samples from empirical distributions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Jacopo Teneggi , Matthew Tivnan , J. Webster Stayman , Jeremias Sulam

Inverse Ising inference allows pairwise interactions of complex binary systems to be reconstructed from empirical correlations. Typical estimators used for this inference, such as Pseudo-likelihood maximization (PLM), are biased. Using the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-19 Maximilian Benedikt Kloucek , Thomas Machon , Shogo Kajimura , C. Patrick Royall , Naoki Masuda , Francesco Turci

Overconfidence is a common issue for deep neural networks, limiting their deployment in real-world applications. To better estimate confidence, existing methods mostly focus on fully-supervised scenarios and rely on training labels. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Chen Li , Xiaoling Hu , Chao Chen

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

Inverse problems have many applications in science and engineering. In Computer vision, several image restoration tasks such as inpainting, deblurring, and super-resolution can be formally modeled as inverse problems. Recently, methods have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Sai Bharath Chandra Gutha , Ricardo Vinuesa , Hossein Azizpour

Boosting has garnered significant interest across both machine learning and statistical communities. Traditional boosting algorithms, designed for fully observed random samples, often struggle with real-world problems, particularly with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yuan Bian , Grace Y. Yi , Wenqing He

In this paper, we propose a new framework to construct confidence sets for a $d$-dimensional unknown sparse parameter $\theta$ under the normal mean model $X\sim N(\theta,\sigma^2I)$. A key feature of the proposed confidence set is its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-19 Yang Ning , Guang Cheng

A general notion of bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates constructed by exchangeably weighting sample is introduced. Asymptotic properties of these generalized bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates are obtained, by mean of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Mohamed Cherfi

We provide new theoretical results in the field of inverse regression methods for dimension reduction. Our approach is based on the study of some empirical processes that lie close to a certain dimension reduction subspace, called the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-02 François Portier

Spatially distributed functional data are prevalent in many statistical applications such as meteorology, energy forecasting, census data, disease mapping, and neurological studies. Given their complex and high-dimensional nature,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Suneel Babu Chatla , Ruiqi Liu

Scientists are often interested in estimating an association between a covariate and a binary- or count-valued response. For instance, public health officials are interested in how much disease presence (a binary response per individual)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Tamara Broderick

In vision classification, generating inputs that elicit confident predictions is key to understanding model behavior and reliability, especially under adversarial or out-of-distribution (OOD) conditions. While traditional adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Pirzada Suhail , Pravesh Khaparde , Amit Sethi

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…