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Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang

Dynamic feature selection, where we sequentially query features to make accurate predictions with a minimal budget, is a promising paradigm to reduce feature acquisition costs and provide transparency into a model's predictions. The problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Soham Gadgil , Ian Covert , Su-In Lee

Tackling large approximate dynamic programming or reinforcement learning problems requires methods that can exploit regularities, or intrinsic structure, of the problem in hand. Most current methods are geared towards exploiting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-03 Amir-massoud Farahmand , Doina Precup , André M. S. Barreto , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

Mutual Information (MI) and Conditional Mutual Information (CMI) are multi-purpose tools from information theory that are able to naturally measure the statistical dependencies between random variables, thus they are usually of central…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

Side information is being used extensively to improve the effectiveness of sequential recommendation models. It is said to help capture the transition patterns among items. Most previous work on sequential recommendation that uses side…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Yujie Lin , Zhumin Chen , Zhaochun Ren , Chenyang Wang , Qiang Yan , Maarten de Rijke , Xiuzhen Cheng , Pengjie Ren

We introduce a simple and intuitive framework that provides quantitative explanations of statistical models through the probabilistic assessment of input feature importance. The core idea comes from utilizing the Dirichlet distribution to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-20 Kamil Adamczewski , Frederik Harder , Mijung Park

Metrics based on percentile ranks (PRs) for measuring scholarly impact involves complex treatment because of various defects such as overvaluing or devaluing an object caused by percentile ranking schemes, ignoring precise citation…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Ping Zhou , Yongfeng Zhong

With the increasing flexibilization of processes, determining robust scheduling decisions has become an important goal. Traditionally, the flexibility index has been used to identify safe operating schedules by approximating the admissible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Moritz Wedemeyer , Eike Cramer , Alexander Mitsos , Manuel Dahmen

Despite the success of complex machine learning algorithms, mostly justified by an outstanding performance in prediction tasks, their inherent opaque nature still represents a challenge to their responsible application. Counterfactual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Bjorge Meulemeester , Raphael Mazzine Barbosa De Oliveira , David Martens

Widespread use of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms and machine learning (ML) models on the one hand and a number of crucial issues pertaining to them warrant the need for explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). A key…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Jinqiang Yu , Graham Farr , Alexey Ignatiev , Peter J. Stuckey

Feature selection is an important problem in machine learning, which aims to select variables that lead to an optimal predictive model. In this paper, we focus on feature selection for post-intervention outcome prediction from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Sofia Triantafillou , Fattaneh Jabbari , Greg Cooper

In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms have been proven to outperform traditional statistical methods in terms of predictivity, especially when a large amount of data was available. Nevertheless, the "black box" nature of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-14 Nicola Picchiotti , Marco Gori

Background: Existing guidelines for handling missing data are generally not consistent with the goals of prediction modelling, where missing data can occur at any stage of the model pipeline. Multiple imputation (MI), often heralded as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-27 Rose Sisk , Matthew Sperrin , Niels Peek , Maarten van Smeden , Glen P. Martin

This paper provides new theory to support to the eXplainable AI (XAI) method Contextual Importance and Utility (CIU). CIU arithmetic is based on the concepts of Multi-Attribute Utility Theory, which gives CIU a solid theoretical foundation.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Kary Främling

Confidence intervals (CIs) are instrumental in statistical analysis, providing a range estimate of the parameters. In modern statistics, selective inference is common, where only certain parameters are highlighted. However, this selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Tzviel Frostig , Yoav Benjamini , Ruth Heller

Fractional imputation (FI) is a relatively new method of imputation for handling item nonresponse in survey sampling. In FI, several imputed values with their fractional weights are created for each missing item. Each fractional weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

Recently, the scheme of model-X knockoffs was proposed as a promising solution to address controlled feature selection under high-dimensional finite-sample settings. However, the procedure of model-X knockoffs depends heavily on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Xuebin Zhao , Hong Chen , Yingjie Wang , Weifu Li , Tieliang Gong , Yulong Wang , Feng Zheng

Feature attributions are post-training analysis methods that assess how various input features of a machine learning model contribute to an output prediction. Their interpretation is straightforward when features act independently, but it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Kurt Butler , Guanchao Feng , Petar Djuric

The traditional framework for feature selection treats all features as costing the same amount. However, in reality, a scientist often has considerable discretion regarding which variables to measure, and the decision involves a tradeoff…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 Guo Yu , Daniela Witten , Jacob Bien

Mutual information (MI) is a fundamental measure of statistical dependence between two variables, yet accurate estimation from finite data remains notoriously difficult. No estimator is universally reliable, and common approaches fail in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-10-02 Eslam Abdelaleem , K. Michael Martini , Ilya Nemenman