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Related papers: Post-selection Inference in Multiverse Analysis (P…

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Missing data are often dealt with multiple imputation. A crucial part of the multiple imputation process is selecting sensible models to generate plausible values for incomplete data. A method based on posterior predictive checking is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-14 Mingyang Cai , Stef van Buuren , Gerko Vink

Amid mounting concern about the reliability and credibility of machine learning research, we present a principled framework for making robust and generalizable claims: the multiverse analysis. Our framework builds upon the multiverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Samuel J. Bell , Onno P. Kampman , Jesse Dodge , Neil D. Lawrence

Variable selection for regression models plays a key role in the analysis of biomedical data. However, inference after selection is not covered by classical statistical frequentist theory which assumes a fixed set of covariates in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Michael Kammer , Daniela Dunkler , Stefan Michiels , Georg Heinze

Conformal inference has played a pivotal role in providing uncertainty quantification for black-box ML prediction algorithms with finite sample guarantees. Traditionally, conformal prediction inference requires a data-independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are increasingly used to generate data for downstream analyses, yet naively treating these predictions as true observations can lead to biased results and incorrect inference. Wang et…

We propose new inference tools for forward stepwise regression, least angle regression, and the lasso. Assuming a Gaussian model for the observation vector y, we first describe a general scheme to perform valid inference after any selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Jonathan Taylor , Richard Lockhart , Robert Tibshirani

We consider the problem of inference for parameters selected to report only after some algorithm, the canonical example being inference for model parameters after a model selection procedure. The conditional correction for selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-30 Jelena Markovic , Jonathan Taylor , Jeremy Taylor

Numerous tasks at the core of statistics, learning and vision areas are specific cases of ill-posed inverse problems. Recently, learning-based (e.g., deep) iterative methods have been empirically shown to be useful for these problems.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Risheng Liu , Shichao Cheng , Yi He , Xin Fan , Zhouchen Lin , Zhongxuan Luo

The inferential model (IM) framework provides valid prior-free probabilistic inference by focusing on predicting unobserved auxiliary variables. But, efficient IM-based inference can be challenging when the auxiliary variable is of higher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

It is common to show the confidence intervals or $p$-values of selected features, or predictor variables in regression, but they often involve selection bias. The selective inference approach solves this bias by conditioning on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Incomplete Multi-view Clustering (IMC) has emerged as a significant challenge in multi-view learning. A predominant line for IMC is data imputation; however, indiscriminate imputation can result in unreliable content. Recently, researchers…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Cai Xu , Jinlong Liu , Yilin Zhang , Ziyu Guan , Wei Zhao , Xiaofei He

Discovering statistically significant patterns from databases is an important challenging problem. The main obstacle of this problem is in the difficulty of taking into account the selection bias, i.e., the bias arising from the fact that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-10 Shinya Suzumura , Kazuya Nakagawa , Mahito Sugiyama , Koji Tsuda , Ichiro Takeuchi

Multiple imputation provides an effective way to handle missing data. When several possible models are under consideration for the data, the multiple imputation is typically performed under a single-best model selected from the candidate…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-30 Gyuhyeong Goh , Jae Kwang Kim

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

As a common step in refining their scientific inquiry, investigators are often interested in performing some screening of a collection of given statistical hypotheses. For example, they may wish to determine whether any one of several…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Adam Elder , Marco Carone , Peter Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

Given a set of human's decisions that are observed, inverse optimization has been developed and utilized to infer the underlying decision making problem. The majority of existing studies assumes that the decision making problem is with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Chaosheng Dong , Bo Zeng

Return-to-baseline is an important method to impute missing values or unobserved potential outcomes when certain hypothetical strategies are used to handle intercurrent events in clinical trials. Current return-to-baseline approaches seen…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Yongming Qu , Biyue Dai

Negative binomial regression is commonly employed to analyze overdispersed count data. With small to moderate sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator of the dispersion parameter may be subject to a significant bias, that in turn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

It is common practice in statistical data analysis to perform data-driven variable selection and derive statistical inference from the resulting model. Such inference enjoys none of the guarantees that classical statistical theory provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-06 Richard Berk , Lawrence Brown , Andreas Buja , Kai Zhang , Linda Zhao