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How can short-term energy consumption be accurately forecasted when sensor data is noisy, incomplete, and lacks contextual richness? This question guided our participation in the \textit{2025 Competition on Electric Energy Consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sarah Al-Shareeda , Gulcihan Ozdemir , Heung Seok Jeon , Khaleel Ahmad

The impedances of cables and lines used in (multi-conductor) distribution networks are usually unknown or approximated, and may lead to problematic results for any physics-based power system calculation, e.g., (optimal) power flow. Learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Marta Vanin , Frederik Geth , Rahmat Heidari , Dirk Van Hertem

We can directly sample from the conditional distribution of any log-affine model. The algorithm is a Markov chain on a bounded integer lattice, and its transition probability is the ratio of the UMVUE (uniformly minimum variance unbiased…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Shuhei Mano

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

Distribution network topology detection and state estimation in real-time are critical for modern distribution systems management and control. However, number of sensors in distribution networks are limited and communication links between…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Zahra Soltani , Mojdeh Khorsand

Maximum likelihood estimation of energy-based models is a challenging problem due to the intractability of the log-likelihood gradient. In this work, we propose learning both the energy function and an amortized approximate sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Rithesh Kumar , Sherjil Ozair , Anirudh Goyal , Aaron Courville , Yoshua Bengio

Molecular communication (MC) is a paradigm that employs molecules as information transmitters, hence, requiring unconventional transceivers and detection techniques for the Internet of Bio-Nano Things (IoBNT). In this study, we provide a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-11-27 O. Tansel Baydas , Ozgur B. Akan

Inspired by applications to theories of coding and communication in networks of nervous tissue, we study maximum entropy distributions on weighted graphs with a given expected degree sequence. These distributions are characterized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Christopher Hillar , Andre Wibisono

This paper rigorously establishes that the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic regression models with Gaussian covariates undergoes a sharp `phase transition'. We introduce an explicit boundary…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-27 Emmanuel J. Candes , Pragya Sur

A technique for characterizing and correcting the linearity of radiometric instruments is known by the names the "flux-addition method" and the "combinatorial technique". In this paper, we develop a rigorous uncertainty quantification…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-22 Adam L. Pintar , Zachary H. Levine , Howard W. Yoon , Stephen E. Maxwell

Loss tomography has been studied for more than 10 years and a number of estimators have been proposed. The estimators can be divided into two classes: maximum likelihood and non-maximum likelihood. The maximum likelihood estimators rely on…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-10-03 Weiping Zhu

Maximum likelihood estimation problems are, in general, intractable optimization problems. As a result, it is common to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) using convex relaxations. In some cases, the relaxation is tight: it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Afonso S. Bandeira , Nicolas Boumal , Amit Singer

Smart meters provide relevant information for impedance identification, but they lack global phase alignment and internal network nodes are often unobserved. A few methods for this setting were developed, but they have requirements on data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Federico Rosato , Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius

The needs for improving observability of medium and low voltage distribution networks has been significantly increased, in recent year. In this paper, we focus on practical approaches for placement of affordable Measurement Devices (MDs),…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Paola Paruta , Thomas Pidancier , Mokhtar Bozorg , Mauro Carpita

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal

Under a smart grid paradigm, there has been an increase in sensor installations to enhance situational awareness. The measurements from these sensors can be leveraged for real-time monitoring, control, and protection. However, these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-09 Shweta Dahale , Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Rui Yang

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Limited presence of nodal and line meters in distribution grids hinders their optimal operation and participation in real-time markets. In particular lack of real-time information on the grid topology and infrequently calibrated line…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Sejun Park , Deepjyoti Deka , Michael Chertkov
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