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In this work, we propose an adaptive robust loss function framework for MHE, integrating an adaptive robust loss function to reduce the impact of outliers with a regularization term that avoids naive solutions. The proposed approach…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Nestor Deniz , Guido Sanchez , Fernando Auat Cheein , Leonardo Giovanini

We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Jeremie Houssineau , David J. Nott

Robustness to outliers is a central issue in real-world machine learning applications. While replacing a model to a heavy-tailed one (e.g., from Gaussian to Student-t) is a standard approach for robustification, it can only be applied to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-01 Futoshi Futami , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

The paper addresses state estimation for linear discrete-time systems with binary (threshold) measurements. A Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) approach is followed and different estimators, characterized by two different choices of the cost…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Stefano Gherardini

In this paper, we propose a sample-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) scheme for general nonlinear systems to estimate the current system state using irregularly and/or infrequently available measurements. The cost function of the MHE…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Isabelle Krauss , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

This work proposes a unifying probabilistic framework for the design of robustly asymptotically stable moving-horizon estimators (MHE) for discrete-time nonlinear systems, and a mechanism to incorporate differential privacy in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Vishaal Krishnan , Sonia Martínez

The presence of outliers (anomalous values) in synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and the misspecification in statistical image models may result in inaccurate inferences. To avoid such issues, the Rayleigh regression model based on a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-02 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. Machado , M. I. Pettersson , V. T. Vu , R. J. Cintra

This paper addresses state estimation of linear systems with special attention on unknown process and measurement noise covariances, aiming to enhance estimation accuracy while preserving the stability guarantee of the Kalman filter. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Xiangxiang Dong , Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Yunze Cai

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

A robust estimation framework for binary regression models is studied, aiming to extend traditional approaches like logistic regression models. While previous studies largely focused on logistic models, we explore a broader class of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Kenichi Hayashi , Shinto Eguchi

Model averaging is an alternative to model selection for dealing with model uncertainty, which is widely used and very valuable. However, most of the existing model averaging methods are proposed based on the least squares loss function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Miaomiao Wang , Guohua Zou

We derive a novel, provably robust, and closed-form Bayesian update rule for online filtering in state-space models in the presence of outliers and misspecified measurement models. Our method combines generalised Bayesian inference with…

Long horizon lengths in Moving Horizon Estimation are desirable to reach the performance limits of the full information estimator. However, the conventional MHE technique suffers from a number of deficiencies in this respect. First, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-02-17 Ali Al-Matouq , Tyrone Vincent

In this paper, we introduce a Gaussian process based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework. The scheme is based on offline collected data and offline hyperparameter optimization. In particular, compared to standard MHE schemes, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-16 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Whole robustness is a nice property to have for statistical models. It implies that the impact of outliers gradually vanishes as they approach plus or minus infinity. So far, the Bayesian literature provides results that ensure whole…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Alain Desgagné , Philippe Gagnon

This paper focusses on robust estimation of location and concentration parameters of the von Mises-Fisher distribution in the Bayesian framework. The von Mises-Fisher (or Langevin) distribution has played a central role in directional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yasuhito Tsuruta , Sho Kazari , Kouji Tahata

We introduce a methodology for robust Bayesian estimation with robust divergence (e.g., density power divergence or {\gamma}-divergence), indexed by a single tuning parameter. It is well known that the posterior density induced by robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Shouto Yonekura , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MMLE) in item response theory (IRT) is highly sensitive to aberrant responses, such as careless answering and random guessing, which can reduce estimation accuracy. To address this issue, this study…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yuki Itaya , Kenichi Hayashi

In this paper, a robust data-driven moving horizon estimation (MHE) scheme for linear time-invariant discrete-time systems is introduced. The scheme solely relies on offline collected data without employing any system identification step.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-29 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Robust stability of moving-horizon estimators is investigated for nonlinear discrete-time systems that are detectable in the sense of incremental input/output-to-state stability and are affected by disturbances. The estimate of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Angelo Alessandri
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