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Modal split prediction in transportation networks has the potential to support network operators in managing traffic congestion and improving transit service reliability. We focus on the problem of hourly prediction of the fraction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Aron Brenner , Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin

We consider a road network represented by a directed graph. We assume to collect many measurements of traffic flows on all the network arcs, or on a subset of them. We assume that the users are divided into different groups. Each group…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-20 Mattia Laurini , Irene Saccani , Stefano Ardizzoni , Luca Consolini , Marco Locatelli

Express transportation network design is uncertain because origin--destination demand, travel time, operating cost, hub congestion, and realized sorting productivity vary over time. Existing multi-topology express network models usually…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-05-08 Debashis Chatterjee

Although existing machine learning-based methods for traffic accident analysis can provide good quality results to downstream tasks, they lack interpretability which is crucial for this critical problem. This paper proposes an interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Tong Yuan , Jian Yang , Zeyi Wen

Traffic dynamics is universally crucial in analyzing and designing almost any network. This article introduces a novel theoretical approach to analyzing network traffic dynamics. This theory's machinery is based on the notion of traffic…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Matin Macktoobian , Zhan Shu , Qing Zhao

In this paper we consider a network of agents monitoring a spatially distributed arrival process. Each node measures the number of arrivals seen at its monitoring point in a given time-interval with the objective of estimating the unknown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Angelo Coluccia , Giuseppe Notarstefano

The ability to model and predict ego-vehicle's surrounding traffic is crucial for autonomous pilots and intelligent driver-assistance systems. Acceleration prediction is important as one of the major components of traffic prediction. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Jianyu Su , Peter A. Beling , Rui Guo , Kyungtae Han

Traffic forecasting from past observed traffic data with small calculation complexity is one of important problems for planning of servers and networks. Focusing on World Wide Web (WWW) traffic as fundamental investigation, this paper would…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-12-03 Daiki Koizumi , Toshiyasu Matsushima , Shigeichi Hirasawa

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

In the setting of a recently developed cellular stochastic traffic flow model, it has shown that the joint per-cell vehicle densities, as a function of time, can be accurately approximated by a Gaussian process, which has the attractive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Michel Mandjes , Jaap Storm

We develop theoretical foundations and practical algorithms for vehicle routing with time-dependent travel times. We also provide new benchmark instances and experimental results. First, we study basic operations on piecewise linear arrival…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Jannis Blauth , Stephan Held , Dirk Müller , Niklas Schlomberg , Vera Traub , Thorben Tröbst , Jens Vygen

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

Due to the rapid development of Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, many online web apps (e.g., Google Map and Uber) estimate the travel time of trajectory data collected by mobile devices. However, in reality, complex factors, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Zhiwen Zhang , Hongjun Wang , Zipei Fan , Jiyuan Chen , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

We consider the problem of routing on a network in the presence of line segment constraints (i.e., obstacles that edges in our network are not allowed to cross). Let $P$ be a set of $n$ points in the plane and let $S$ be a set of…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Prosenjit Bose , Matias Korman , André van Renssen , Sander Verdonschot

Accurate traffic flow prediction, a hotspot for intelligent transportation research, is the prerequisite for mastering traffic and making travel plans. The speed of traffic flow can be affected by roads condition, weather, holidays, etc.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Jianlei Kong , Xiaomeng Fan , Xue-Bo Jin , Min Zuo

In this paper, we present a study of a mobility game with uncertainty in the decision-making of travelers and incorporate prospect theory to model travel behavior. We formulate a mobility game that models how travelers distribute their…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-20 Ioannis Vasileios Chremos , Heeseung Bang , Aditya Dave , Viet-Anh Le , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

This paper leverages macroscopic models and multi-source spatiotemporal data collected from automatic traffic counters and probe vehicles to accurately estimate traffic flow and travel time in links where these measurements are unavailable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Pablo Guarda , Sean Qian

We study the problem of planning routes in road networks when certain streets or areas are closed at certain times. For heavy vehicles, such areas may be very large since many European countries impose temporary driving bans during the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Alexander Kleff , Frank Schulz , Jakob Wagenblatt , Tim Zeitz

Route-level travel time reliability requires characterizing the distribution of total travel time across correlated segments -- a problem where existing methods either assume independence (fast but miscalibrated) or model dependence via…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Vadim Sokolov , Refik Soyer