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Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

Statistical inference for tensors has emerged as a critical challenge in analyzing high-dimensional data in modern data science. This paper introduces a unified framework for inferring general and low-Tucker-rank linear functionals of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Ke Xu , Elynn Chen , Yuefeng Han

A new single-index model that reflects the time-dynamic effects of the single index is proposed for longitudinal and functional response data, possibly measured with errors, for both longitudinal and time-invariant covariates. With…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Ci-Ren Jiang , Jane-Ling Wang

We explore the problem of inferring the graph Laplacian of a weighted, undirected network from snapshots of a single or multiple discrete-time consensus dynamics, subject to parameter uncertainty, taking place on the network. Specifically,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Yu Zhu , Michael T. Schaub , Ali Jadbabaie , Santiago Segarra

We consider the problem of estimating a linear time-invariant (LTI) dynamical system from a single trajectory via streaming algorithms, which is encountered in several applications including reinforcement learning (RL) and time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Prateek Jain , Suhas S Kowshik , Dheeraj Nagaraj , Praneeth Netrapalli

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

The automated collection of streaming observational data has become standard and defies most traditional analytic techniques. It is not just that models are hard to identify, there may not be any model that can be safely and usefully…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Bertrand Clarke , Aleena Chanda

Adaptive collection of data is commonplace in applications throughout science and engineering. From the point of view of statistical inference however, adaptive data collection induces memory and correlation in the samples, and poses…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-07 Yash Deshpande , Adel Javanmard , Mohammad Mehrabi

We propose an online learning algorithm for a class of machine learning models under a separable stochastic approximation framework. The essence of our idea lies in the observation that certain parameters in the models are easier to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Min Gan , Xiang-xiang Su , Guang-yong Chen , Jing Chen

We propose a simple discrete time semi-supervised graph embedding approach to link prediction in dynamic networks. The learned embedding reflects information from both the temporal and cross-sectional network structures, which is performed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-17 Ryohei Hisano

We consider sequential maximization of performance metrics that are general functions of a confusion matrix of a classifier (such as precision, F-measure, or G-mean). Such metrics are, in general, non-decomposable over individual instances,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Wojciech Kotłowski , Marek Wydmuch , Erik Schultheis , Rohit Babbar , Krzysztof Dembczyński

Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-17 Le Song , Han Liu , Ankur Parikh , Eric Xing

In this paper, we generalize the problem of single-index model to the context of continual learning in which a learner is challenged with a sequence of tasks one by one and the dataset of each task is revealed in an online fashion. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-26 The Tien Mai

Estimation mainly for two classes of popular models, single-index and partially linear single-index models, is studied in this paper. Such models feature nonstationarity. Orthogonal series expansion is used to approximate the unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Dag Tjøstheim

Advancements in information technology have enabled the creation of massive spatial datasets, driving the need for scalable and efficient computational methodologies. While offering viable solutions, centralized frameworks are limited by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Jianwei Shi , Sameh Abdulah , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton

Gaussian process regression is a machine learning approach which has been shown its power for estimation of unknown functions. However, Gaussian processes suffer from high computational complexity, as in a basic form they scale cubically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Danil Kuzin , Le Yang , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

An open challenge in supervised learning is \emph{conceptual drift}: a data point begins as classified according to one label, but over time the notion of that label changes. Beyond linear autoregressive models, transfer and meta learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Amrit Singh Bedi , Alec Koppel , Ketan Rajawat , Brian M. Sadler

To understand how the interconnected and interdependent world of the twenty-first century operates and make model-based predictions, joint probability models for networks and interdependent outcomes are needed. We propose a comprehensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Cornelius Fritz , Michael Schweinberger , Subhankar Bhadra , David R. Hunter

We consider high-dimensional inference for potentially misspecified Cox proportional hazard models based on low dimensional results by Lin and Wei [1989]. A de-sparsified Lasso estimator is proposed based on the log partial likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-02 Shengchun Kong , Zhuqing Yu , Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng