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We present a Temporal Rule-Anchored Chain-of-Evidence (TRACE) on knowledge graphs for interpretable stock movement prediction that unifies symbolic relational priors, dynamic graph exploration, and LLM-guided decision making in a single…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Qianggang Ding , Haochen Shi , Luis Castejón Lozano , Miguel Conner , Juan Abia , Luis Gallego-Ledesma , Joshua Fellowes , Gerard Conangla Planes , Adam Elwood , Bang Liu

Citation quality is crucial in information-seeking systems, directly influencing trust and the effectiveness of information access. Current evaluation frameworks, both human and automatic, mainly rely on Natural Language Inference (NLI) to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Yumo Xu , Peng Qi , Jifan Chen , Kunlun Liu , Rujun Han , Lan Liu , Bonan Min , Vittorio Castelli , Arshit Gupta , Zhiguo Wang

Understanding the motivations underlying scholarly citations is essential to evaluate research impact and promote transparent scholarly communication. This study introduces CiteFusion, an ensemble framework designed to address the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Lorenzo Paolini , Sahar Vahdati , Angelo Di Iorio , Robert Wardenga , Ivan Heibi , Silvio Peroni

Mathematical models of the scientific citation process predict a strong "first-mover" effect under which the first papers in a field will, essentially regardless of content, receive citations at a rate enormously higher than papers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-31 M. E. J. Newman

Citation recommendation systems aim to recommend citations for either a complete paper or a small portion of text called a citation context. The process of recommending citations for citation contexts is called local citation recommendation…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Michael Färber , Ashwath Sampath

The importance of a research article is routinely measured by counting how many times it has been cited. However, treating all citations with equal weight ignores the wide variety of functions that citations perform. We want to…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-01-28 Xiaodan Zhu , Peter Turney , Daniel Lemire , André Vellino

Citation graphs can be helpful in generating high-quality summaries of scientific papers, where references of a scientific paper and their correlations can provide additional knowledge for contextualising its background and main…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Zheheng Luo , Qianqian Xie , Sophia Ananiadou

In autonomous vehicle (AV) technology, the ability to accurately predict the movements of surrounding vehicles is paramount for ensuring safety and operational efficiency. Incorporating human decision-making insights enables AVs to more…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Haicheng Liao , Yongkang Li , Zhenning Li , Chengyue Wang , Zhiyong Cui , Shengbo Eben Li , Chengzhong Xu

Scholarly communications have been rapidly integrated into digitised and networked open ecosystems, where preprint servers have played a pivotal role in accelerating the knowledge transfer processes. However, quantitative evidence is scarce…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Keisuke Okamura

In this paper we present a phenomenological approach to describe a complex system: scientific research impact through Citation Mining. The novel concept of Citation Mining, a combination of citation bibliometrics and text mining, is used…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 J. A del Rio , R. N. Kostoff , E. O. Garcia , A. M. Ramirez , J. A. Humenik

Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Parth Kothari , Sven Kreiss , Alexandre Alahi

The development of inventions is theorized as a process of searching and recombining existing knowledge components. Previous studies under this theory have examined myriad characteristics of recombined knowledge and their performance…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Qing Ke , Ziyou Teng , Chao Min

Predicting pedestrian motion trajectories is crucial for path planning and motion control of autonomous vehicles. Accurately forecasting crowd trajectories is challenging due to the uncertain nature of human motions in different…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Yu Liu , Yuexin Zhang , Kunming Li , Yongliang Qiao , Stewart Worrall , You-Fu Li , He Kong

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Predicting the popularity of scientific publications has attracted many attentions from various disciplines. In this paper, we focus on the popularity prediction problem of scientific papers, and propose an age-based diffusion (AD) model to…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Yanbo Zhou , Qu Li , Xuhua Yang , Hongbing cheng

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly embedded in scientific discovery, yet whether it can anticipate scientific progress remains unclear. To study this question, we introduce a temporally grounded evaluation framework for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Sean Wu , Pan Lu , Yupeng Chen , Jonathan Bragg , Yutaro Yamada , Peter Clark , David Clifton , Philip Torr , James Zou , Junchi Yu

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is an essential and challenging task for a variety of real-life applications such as autonomous driving and robotic motion planning. Besides generating a single future path, predicting multiple plausible…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Lihuan Li , Maurice Pagnucco , Yang Song

Prediction is an important problem in different science domains. In this paper, we focus on trend prediction in complex networks, i.e. to identify the most popular nodes in the future. Due to the preferential attachment mechanism in real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-19 Yanbo Zhou , An Zeng , Wei-Hong Wang

Trajectory prediction facilitates effective planning and decision-making, while constrained trajectory prediction integrates regulation into prediction. Recent advances in constrained trajectory prediction focus on structured constraints by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Hao Ma , Zhiqiang Pu , Shijie Wang , Boyin Liu , Huimu Wang , Yanyan Liang , Jianqiang Yi

The advancement of science as outlined by Popper and Kuhn is largely qualitative, but with bibliometric data it is possible and desirable to develop a quantitative picture of scientific progress. Furthermore it is also important to allocate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-06 Wenyuan Liu , Stanisław Saganowski , Przemysław Kazienko , Siew Ann Cheong