Related papers: Model-X Sequential Testing for Conditional Indepen…
In online multiple testing, an a priori unknown number of hypotheses are tested sequentially, i.e. at each time point a test decision for the current hypothesis has to be made using only the data available so far. Although many powerful…
The Model-free Prediction Principle has been successfully applied to general regression problems, as well as problems involving stationary and locally stationary time series. In this paper we demonstrate how Model-Free Prediction can be…
We consider the problem of sequential prediction and provide tools to study the minimax value of the associated game. Classical statistical learning theory provides several useful complexity measures to study learning with i.i.d. data. Our…
Structural independence is the (conditional) independence that arises from the structure rather than the precise numerical values of a distribution. We develop this concept and relate it to $d$-separation and structural causal models.…
Score-based tests have been used to study parameter heterogeneity across many types of statistical models. This chapter describes a new self-normalization approach for score-based tests of mixed models, which addresses situations where…
In this paper, we address the problem of testing independence between two high-dimensional random vectors. Our approach involves a series of max-sum tests based on three well-known classes of rank-based correlations. These correlation…
Researchers faced with a sequence of candidate model specifications must often choose the best specification that does not violate a testable identification assumption. One option in this scenario is sequential specification tests:…
We consider the problem of conditional independence testing of $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$ where $X,Y$ and $Z$ are three real random variables and $Z$ is continuous. We focus on two main cases - when $X$ and $Y$ are both discrete, and when $X$…
Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…
Model-free knockoffs is a recently proposed technique for identifying covariates that is likely to have an effect on a response variable. The method is an efficient method to control the false discovery rate in hypothesis tests for separate…
We propose a method for inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector time series (discrete-time process) from a finite-length observation. By contrast to existing approaches, we do not rely on a…
In this article, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of hypotheses when the individual test statistics are not necessarily independent. Specifically, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of point null hypotheses…
Log-linear models are a classical tool for the analysis of contingency tables. In particular, the subclass of graphical log-linear models provides a general framework for modelling conditional independences. However, with the exception of…
We consider situations where data have been collected such that the sampling depends on the outcome of interest and possibly further covariates, as for instance in case-control studies. Graphical models represent assumptions about the…
In this paper, we focus on the problem of statistical dependence estimation using characteristic functions. We propose a statistical dependence measure, based on the maximum-norm of the difference between joint and product-marginal…
We propose new concepts in order to analyze and model the dependence structure between two time series. Our methods rely exclusively on the order structure of the data points. Hence, the methods are stable under monotone transformations of…
In this paper, we investigate local permutation tests for testing conditional independence between two random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$. The local permutation test determines the significance of a test statistic by locally shuffling…
We introduce a test for the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and $Y$ given a random variable $Z$, specifically by sampling from the joint distribution $(X,Y,Z)$, binning the support of the distribution of $Z$, and conducting…
We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…
We consider testing whether a set of Gaussian variables, selected from the data, is independent of the remaining variables. We assume that this set is selected via a very simple approach that is commonly used across scientific disciplines:…