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The field of predictive process monitoring focuses on case-level models to predict a single specific outcome such as a particular objective, (remaining) time, or next activity/remaining sequence. Recently, a longer-horizon, model-wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

This paper introduces the Neural Network for Nonlinear Hawkes processes (NNNH), a non-parametric method based on neural networks to fit nonlinear Hawkes processes. Our method is suitable for analyzing large datasets in which events exhibit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

We focus on the problem of learning without forgetting from multiple tasks arriving sequentially, where each task is defined using a few-shot episode of novel or already seen classes. We approach this problem using the recently published…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Max Vladymyrov , Andrey Zhmoginov , Mark Sandler

Temporal point processes (TPP) are a natural tool for modeling event-based data. Among all TPP models, Hawkes processes have proven to be the most widely used, mainly due to their adequate modeling for various applications, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-03 Guillaume Staerman , Cédric Allain , Alexandre Gramfort , Thomas Moreau

With the research directions described in this thesis, we seek to address the critical challenges in designing recommender systems that can understand the dynamics of continuous-time event sequences. We follow a ground-up approach, i.e.,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Vinayak Gupta

Predicting popularity, or the total volume of information outbreaks, is an important subproblem for understanding collective behavior in networks. Each of the two main types of recent approaches to the problem, feature-driven and generative…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Swapnil Mishra , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Forecasting multiple future events within a given time horizon is essential for applications in finance, retail, social networks, and healthcare. Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPP) provide a principled framework to model both the timing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Ivan Karpukhin , Foma Shipilov , Andrey Savchenko

Temporal point process is widely used for sequential data modeling. In this paper, we focus on the problem of modeling sequential event propagation in graph, such as retweeting by social network users, news transmitting between websites,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Weichang Wu , Huanxi Liu , Xiaohu Zhang , Yu Liu , Hongyuan Zha

Temporal point process (TPP) is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring occurrence timestamps and revealed by probabilistic models conditioned on historical impacts. While lots of previous works have focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Haitao Lin , Lirong Wu , Guojiang Zhao , Pai Liu , Stan Z. Li

In-context learning, the ability of large language models to perform tasks using only examples provided in the prompt, has recently been adapted for time series forecasting. This paradigm enables zero-shot prediction, where past values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Andreas Auer , Patrick Podest , Daniel Klotz , Sebastian Böck , Günter Klambauer , Sepp Hochreiter

We present a novel framework for modeling traffic congestion events over road networks. Using multi-modal data by combining count data from traffic sensors with police reports that report traffic incidents, we aim to capture two types of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Shixiang Zhu , Ruyi Ding , Minghe Zhang , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Yao Xie

This paper explores the promising interplay between spiking neural networks (SNNs) and event-based cameras for privacy-preserving human action recognition (HAR). The unique feature of event cameras in capturing only the outlines of motion,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Siyuan Yang , Shilin Lu , Shizheng Wang , Meng Hwa Er , Zengwei Zheng , Alex C. Kot

Temporal point processes (TPPs) provide a natural mathematical framework for modeling heartbeats due to capturing underlying physiological inductive biases. In this work, we apply density-based neural TPPs to model heartbeat dynamics from…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-01 Sandya Subramanian , Bharath Ramsundar

Social networks represent complex ecosystems where the interactions between users or groups play a pivotal role in information dissemination, opinion formation, and social interactions. Effectively harnessing event sequence data within…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Zizhuo Meng , Ke Wan , Yadong Huang , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Feng Zhou

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan

We propose a framework that can incrementally expand the explanatory temporal logic rule set to explain the occurrence of temporal events. Leveraging the temporal point process modeling and learning framework, the rule content and weights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Chao Yang , Lu Wang , Kun Gao , Shuang Li

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

Lifelong learning has recently attracted attention in building machine learning systems that continually accumulate and transfer knowledge to help future learning. Unsupervised topic modeling has been popularly used to discover topics from…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Pankaj Gupta , Yatin Chaudhary , Thomas Runkler , Hinrich Schütze

We propose a novel probabilistic framework to model continuous-time interaction events data. Our goal is to infer the \emph{implicit} community structure underlying the temporal interactions among entities, and also to exploit how the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

In the last decade Hawkes processes have received much attention as models for functional connectivity in neural spiking networks and other dynamical systems with a cascade behavior. In this paper we establish a renewal approach for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mads Bonde Raad