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Let $F$ be a class of functions on a probability space $(\Omega,\mu)$ and let $X_1,...,X_k$ be independent random variables distributed according to $\mu$. We establish high probability tail estimates of the form $\sup_{f \in F} |\{i :…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shahar Mendelson

We study the sequential empirical process indexed by general function classes and its smoothed set-indexed analogue. Sufficient conditions for asymptotic equicontinuity are provided for nonstationary arrays of time series. This yields…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Florian Alexander Scholze , Ansgar Steland

This paper extends standard results from learning theory with independent data to sequences of dependent data. Contrary to most of the literature, we do not rely on mixing arguments or sequential measures of complexity and derive uniform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Fabien Lauer

We initiate a study of supervised learning from many independent sequences ("trajectories") of non-independent covariates, reflecting tasks in sequence modeling, control, and reinforcement learning. Conceptually, our multi-trajectory setup…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Stephen Tu , Roy Frostig , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

Recent developments on deep learning established some theoretical properties of deep neural networks estimators. However, most of the existing works on this topic are restricted to bounded loss functions or (sub)-Gaussian or bounded input.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-09 William Kengne , Modou Wade

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson

We apply the PAC-Bayes theory to the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-bounds) and explicit trade-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

This paper, which is Part 1 of a two-part paper series, considers a simulation-based inference with learned summary statistics, in which such a learned summary statistic serves as an empirical-likelihood with ameliorative effects in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Getachew K. Befekadu

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 David Reeb , Andreas Doerr , Sebastian Gerwinn , Barbara Rakitsch

Stochastic processes have found numerous applications in science, as they are broadly used to model a variety of natural phenomena. Due to their intrinsic randomness and uncertainty, they are, however, difficult to characterize. Here, we…

Statistical learning theory under independent and identically distributed (iid) sampling and online learning theory for worst case individual sequences are two of the best developed branches of learning theory. Statistical learning under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-14 A. Philip Dawid , Ambuj Tewari

Many machine learning tasks, such as learning with invariance and policy evaluation in reinforcement learning, can be characterized as problems of learning from conditional distributions. In such problems, each sample $x$ itself is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-03 Bo Dai , Niao He , Yunpeng Pan , Byron Boots , Le Song

We introduce and test a general machine-learning-based technique for the inference of short term causal dependence between state variables of an unknown dynamical system from time series measurements of its state variables. Our technique…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-12-18 Amitava Banerjee , Jaideep Pathak , Rajarshi Roy , Juan G. Restrepo , Edward Ott

Using a variational technique, we generalize the statistical physics approach of learning from random examples to make it applicable to real data. We demonstrate the validity and relevance of our method by computing approximate estimators…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Malzahn , M. Opper

We obtain non-uniform Berry-Esseen type estimates for several classes of weakly dependent sequences of random variables, including uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains, random and time-varying (partially) hyperbolic or expanding…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Yeor Hafouta

We introduce a maximal inequality for a local empirical process under strongly mixing data. Local empirical processes are defined as the (local) averages $\frac{1}{nh}\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{1}\{x - h \leq X_i \leq x+h\}f(Z_i)$, where $f$…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-06 Luis Alvarez , Cristine Pinto

In the past decades, weak convergence theory for stochastic processes has become a standard tool for analyzing the asymptotic properties of various statistics. Routinely, weak convergence is considered in the space of bounded functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers , Stanislav Volgushev

While statistics focusses on hypothesis testing and on estimating (properties of) the true sampling distribution, in machine learning the performance of learning algorithms on future data is the primary issue. In this paper we bridge the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Decision-making problems often feature uncertainty stemming from heterogeneous and context-dependent human preferences. To address this, we propose a sequential learning-and-optimization pipeline to learn preference distributions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Benjamin Hudson , Laurent Charlin , Emma Frejinger
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