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Standard formulations of supervenience typically treat higher level properties as point valued facts strictly fixed by underlying base states. However, in many scientific domains, from statistical mechanics to machine learning, basal…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Youheng Zhang

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

Applications of machine learning often involve making predictions based on both model outputs and the opinions of human experts. In this context, we investigate the problem of querying experts for class label predictions, using as few human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Markelle Kelly , Alex Boyd , Sam Showalter , Mark Steyvers , Padhraic Smyth

We consider Bayesian analysis of a class of multiple changepoint models. While there are a variety of efficient ways to analyse these models if the parameters associated with each segment are independent, there are few general approaches…

Computation · Statistics 2009-10-19 Paul Fearnhead , Zhen Liu

Bayesian inversion generates a posterior distribution of model parameters from an observation equation and prior information both weighted by hyperparameters. The prior is also introduced for the hyperparameters in fully Bayesian inversions…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-20 Dye SK Sato , Yukitoshi Fukahata , Yohei Nozue

This article is a continuation of work on construction and calculation various of modifications of invariant based on the use Euclidean metric values attributed to elements of manifold triangulation. We again address the well investigated…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. V. Martyushev

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

Using the symmetric monoidal closed category structure of the category of measurable spaces, in conjunction with the Giry monad which we show is a strong monad, we analyze Bayesian inference maps and their construction in relation to the…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-05 Kirk Sturtz

Bayesian inference provides a rigorous framework to encapsulate our knowledge and uncertainty regarding various physical quantities in a well-defined and self-contained manner. Utilising modern tools, such Bayesian models can be constructed…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-01-02 Julien Frison

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Recent methods for deep metric learning have been focusing on designing different contrastive loss functions between positive and negative pairs of samples so that the learned feature embedding is able to pull positive samples of the same…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Shichao Kan , Zhiquan He , Yigang Cen , Yang Li , Vladimir Mladenovic , Zhihai He

We provide a complete framework for performing infinite-dimensional Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification for image reconstruction with Poisson data. In particular, we address the following issues to make the Bayesian framework…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Qingping Zhou , Tengchao Yu , Xiaoqun Zhang , Jinglai Li

Reference analysis produces objective Bayesian inference, in the sense that inferential statements depend only on the assumed model and the available data, and the prior distribution used to make an inference is least informative in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-02 James O. Berger , José M. Bernardo , Dongchu Sun

We tackle the problem of learning the geometry of multiple categories of deformable objects jointly. Recent work has shown that it is possible to learn a unified dense pose predictor for several categories of related objects. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Natalia Neverova , Artsiom Sanakoyeu , Patrick Labatut , David Novotny , Andrea Vedaldi

Bayesian learning has emerged as a compelling and vital research direction in the field of structural dynamics, offering a probabilistic lens to understand and refine the analysis of complex dynamical systems. This review meticulously…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-03 Wang-Ji Yan , Lin-Feng Mei , Yuan-Wei Yin , Jiang Mo , Costas Papadimitriou , Ka-Veng Yuen , Michael Beer

One of the goals of probabilistic inference is to decide whether an empirically observed distribution is compatible with a candidate Bayesian network. However, Bayesian networks with hidden variables give rise to highly non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 R. Chaves , L. Luft , T. O. Maciel , D. Gross , D. Janzing , B. Schölkopf

Characterizing statistical properties of solutions of inverse problems is essential for decision making. Bayesian inversion offers a tractable framework for this purpose, but current approaches are computationally unfeasible for most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Jonas Adler , Ozan Öktem

In Bayesian statistics, one's prior beliefs about underlying model parameters are revised with the information content of observed data from which, using Bayes' rule, a posterior belief is obtained. A non-trivial example taken from the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Charles , A. Hocker , H. Lacker , F. R. Le Diberder , S. T'Jampens

In this paper the Bayesian analysis is applied to assign a probability density to the value of a quantity having a definite sign. This analysis is logically consistent with the results, positive or negative, of repeated measurements.…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-13 D Calonico , F Levi , L Lorini , G Mana