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This paper applies risk analysis to medical problems, through the properties of nonlinear responses (convex or concave). It shows 1) necessary relations between the nonlinearity of dose-response and the statistical properties of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

The theory of convex risk functions has now been well established as the basis for identifying the families of risk functions that should be used in risk averse optimization problems. Despite its theoretical appeal, the implementation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

Antifragility characterizes the benefit of a dynamical system derived from the variability in environmental perturbations. Antifragility carries a precise definition that quantifies a system's output response to input variability. Systems…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-22 Cristian Axenie , Oliver López-Corona , Michail A. Makridis , Meisam Akbarzadeh , Matteo Saveriano , Alexandru Stancu , Jeffrey West

We provide a mathematical definition of fragility and antifragility as negative or positive sensitivity to a semi-measure of dispersion and volatility (a variant of negative or positive "vega") and examine the link to nonlinear effects. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-07 Nassim N. Taleb , Raphael Douady

Conventional inverse optimization inputs a solution and finds the parameters of an optimization model that render a given solution optimal. The literature mostly focuses on inferring the objective function in linear problems when accepted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Houra Mahmoudzadeh , Kimia Ghobadi

Risk measures connect probability theory or statistics to optimization, particularly to convex optimization. They are nowadays standard in applications of finance and in insurance involving risk aversion. This paper investigates a wide…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Paul Dommel , Alois Pichler

We develop a general theory of risk measures that determines the optimal amount of capital to raise and invest in a portfolio of reference traded securities in order to meet a pre-specified regulatory requirement. The distinguishing feature…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-17 Maria Arduca , Cosimo Munari

This chapter introduces evolutionary antifragility as the time-scale interaction characteristics of a natural dynamic system. It describes the benefit derived from input distribution unevenness, based on the emergent system dynamics and its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-25 Cristian Axenie , Roman Bauer , Oliver Lopez Corona , Elvia Ramirez-Carrillo , Ari Barnett , Jeffrey West

The family of admissible positions in a transaction costs model is a random closed set, which is convex in case of proportional transaction costs. However, the convexity fails, e.g. in case of fixed transaction costs or when only a finite…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Andreas Haier , Ilya Molchanov

There is wide interest in studying how the distribution of a continuous response changes with a predictor. We are motivated by environmental applications in which the predictor is the dose of an exposure and the response is a health…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 Antonio Canale , Daniele Durante , David Dunson

A nonlinear frequency response based adaptive vibration controller is proposed for a class of nonlinear mechanical systems. In order to obtain the nonlinear Frequency Response Function (FRF), the convergence properties of the system are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-30 Suresh Thenozhi , Yu Tang

This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Matus Telgarsky

We consider the problem of finite-horizon optimal control design under uncertainty for imperfectly observed discrete-time systems with convex costs and constraints. It is known that this problem can be cast as an infinite-dimensional convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Kevin J. Kircher , K. Max Zhang

We present an optimization-based approach to stochastic control problems with nonclassical information structures. We cast these problems equivalently as optimization prob- lems on joint distributions. The resulting problems are necessarily…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Ankur A. Kulkarni , Todd P. Coleman

Quantile aggregation with dependence uncertainty has a long history in probability theory with wide applications in finance, risk management, statistics, and operations research. Using a recent result on inf-convolution of quantile-based…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Jose Blanchet , Henry Lam , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

In decision-making problems under uncertainty, probabilistic constraints are a valuable tool to express safety of decisions. They result from taking the probability measure of a given set of random inequalities depending on the decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Yassine Laguel , Wim van Ackooij , Jérôme Malick , Guilherme Ramalho

Convexity is an important notion in non linear optimization theory as well as in infinite dimensional functional analysis. As will be seen below, very simple and powerful tools will be derived from elementary duality arguments (which are…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Guy Bouchitte

We derive computationally tractable formulations of the robust counterparts of convex quadratic and conic quadratic constraints that are concave in matrix-valued uncertain parameters. We do this for a broad range of uncertainty sets. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Ahmadreza Marandi , Aharon Ben-Tal , Dick den Hertog , Bertrand Melenberg

This paper presents a functional linear Cox regression model with frailty to tackle unobserved heterogeneity in survival data with functional covariates. While traditional Cox models are common, they struggle to incorporate frailty effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Deniz Inan , Ufuk Beyaztas , Carmen D. Tekwe , Xiwei Chen , Roger S. Zoh
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