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This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-15 Kenichi Shimizu

Two alternative exact characterizations of the minimum error probability of Bayesian M-ary hypothesis testing are derived. The first expression corresponds to the error probability of an induced binary hypothesis test and implies the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-07 Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar , Adrià Tauste Campo , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas , Alfonso Martinez

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

In Official Statistics, interest for data integration has been increasingly growing, due to the need of extracting information from different sources. However, the effects of these procedures on the validity of the resulting statistical…

The relationship between the Bayesian approach and the minimum description length approach is established. We sharpen and clarify the general modeling principles MDL and MML, abstracted as the ideal MDL principle and defined from Bayes's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Paul Vitanyi , Ming Li

We show how the notion of message passing can be used to streamline the algebra and computer coding for fast approximate inference in large Bayesian semiparametric regression models. In particular, this approach is amenable to handling…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 M. P. Wand

Normalization of SMS text, commonly known as texting language, is being pursued for more than a decade. A probabilistic approach based on the Trie data structure was proposed in literature which was found to be better performing than HMM…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Abhinava Sikdar , Niladri Chatterjee

This is a writeup, with some elaboration, of the talks by the two authors (a physicist and a statistician) at the first PHYSTAT Informal review on January 24, 2024. We discuss Bayesian and frequentist approaches to dealing with nuisance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-29 Robert D. Cousins , Larry Wasserman

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is estimation of unknowns. Point estimates alone are of little value without an accompanying measure of uncertainty, but traditional uncertainty quantification methods, such as confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Neil Dey , Ryan Martin , Jonathan P. Williams

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov

Bayesian and frequentist methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimality properties. In practice, there are situations in which one of the methods is more preferred by some criteria. We consider the case of inference about a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Ao Yuan

Causal discovery automates the learning of causal Bayesian networks from data and has been of active interest from their beginning. With the sourcing of large data sets off the internet, interest in scaling up to very large data sets has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Yang Li , Kevin B Korb , Lloyd Allison

We consider the estimation of a signal from the knowledge of its noisy linear random Gaussian projections, a problem relevant in compressed sensing, sparse superposition codes or code division multiple access just to cite few. There has…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Jean Barbier , Mohamad Dia , Nicolas Macris , Florent Krzakala

Nonresponse weighting adjustment using the response propensity score is a popular tool for handling unit nonresponse. Statistical inference after the nonresponse weighting adjustment is complicated because the effect of estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

This article presents a Bayesian inferential method where the likelihood for a model is unknown but where data can easily be simulated from the model. We discretize simulated (continuous) data to estimate the implicit likelihood in a…

We study belief revision when information is represented by a set of probability distributions, or general information. General information extends the standard event notion while including qualitative information (A is more likely than B),…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Adam Dominiak , Matthew Kovach , Gerelt Tserenjigmid

In Bayesian hypothesis testing, evidence for a statistical model is quantified by the Bayes factor, which represents the relative likelihood of observed data under that model compared to another competing model. In general, computing Bayes…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-07 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

The prediction interval has been increasingly used in meta-analyses as a useful measure for assessing the magnitude of treatment effect and between-studies heterogeneity. In calculations of the prediction interval, although the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Yuta Hamaguchi , Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Tomohide Yamada , Toshi A. Furukawa

Empirical Bayes methods have been around for a long time and have a wide range of applications. These methods provide a way in which historical data can be aggregated to provide estimates of the posterior mean. This thesis revisits some of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Xiuwen Duan

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois
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