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In clinical chemistry, a number of studies shows that the probability of very large errors is much greater than expected from the Gaussian distribution. In addition, it has been empirically found that the behavior of nonlinear complex…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-05-05 Aristides T. Hatjimihail

Demand for high-performance, robust, and safe autonomous systems has grown substantially in recent years. These objectives motivate the desire for efficient safety-theoretic reasoning that can be embedded in core decision-making tasks such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

Bernstein-von Mises results (BvM) establish that the Laplace approximation is asymptotically correct in the large-data limit. However, these results are inappropriate for computational purposes since they only hold over most, and not all,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Guillaume P. Dehaene

This article addresses a fundamental concern regarding the incompressible approximation of fluid motions, one of the most widely used approximations in fluid mechanics. Common belief is that its accuracy is $O(\epsilon)$ where $\epsilon$…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Bin Cheng

Recently, deep-learning weather forecasting models have surpassed traditional numerical models in terms of the accuracy of meteorological variables. However, there is considerable potential for improvements in precipitation forecasts,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-20 Weiwen Ji , Jin Feng , Yueqi Liu , Yulu Qiu , Hua Gao

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

We consider the simulation of barotropic flow of gas in long pipes and pipe networks. Based on a Hamiltonian reformulation of the governing system, a fully discrete approximation scheme is proposed using mixed finite elements in space and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-01 H. Egger , J. Giesselmann , T. Kunkel , N. Philippi

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

We propose a simple methodology to approximate functions with given asymptotic behavior by specifically constructed terms and an unconstrained deep neural network (DNN). The methodology we describe extends to various asymptotic behaviors…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Hardik Routray , Bernhard Hientzsch

Central to our understanding of chemical reactivity is the principle of mass conservation, which is fundamental for ensuring physical consistency, balancing equations, and guiding reaction design. However, data-driven computational models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Joonyoung F. Joung , Mun Hong Fong , Nicholas Casetti , Jordan P. Liles , Ne S. Dassanayake , Connor W. Coley

We present the full evolution of the velocity of a massive particle, along with the equation of state we can compute the energy density and pressure evolution for the background evolution. It is also natural to compute the perturbation…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-17 Jorge Mastache , Axel de la Macorra

Model approximations are common practice when estimating structural or quasi-structural models. The paper considers the econometric properties of estimators that utilize projections to reimpose information about the exact model in the form…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Andreas Tryphonides

Downscaling is necessary to generate high-resolution observation data to validate the climate model forecast or monitor rainfall at the micro-regional level operationally. Dynamical and statistical downscaling models are often used to get…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Bipin Kumar , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manmeet Singh , Niraj Chaudhari , Karthik Kodari , Amit Barve

We study a large deviation principle for a system of stochastic reaction--diffusion equations (SRDEs) with a separation of fast and slow components and small noise in the slow component. The derivation of the large deviation principle is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Wenqing Hu , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

Improved estimation of hydrometeorological states from down-sampled observations and background model forecasts in a noisy environment, has been a subject of growing research in the past decades. Here, we introduce a unified framework that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-09-15 Ardeshir Mohammad Ebtehaj , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

We present an algorithm to evaluate the large deviation functions associated to history-dependent observables. Instead of relying on a time discretisation procedure to approximate the dynamics, we provide a direct continuous-time algorithm,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-03 Vivien Lecomte , Julien Tailleur

Bagging is a useful method for large-scale statistical analysis, especially when the computing resources are very limited. We study here the asymptotic properties of bagging estimators for $M$-estimation problems but with massive datasets.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Yuan Gao , Riquan Zhang , Hansheng Wang

Density-corrected density functional theory (DC-DFT) is enjoying substantial success in improving semilocal DFT calculations in a wide variety of chemical problems. This paper provides the formal theoretical framework and assumptions for…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-08-19 Stefan Vuckovic , Suhwan Song , John Kozlowski , Eunji Sim , Kieron Burke

We consider the repulsive Vlasov-Poisson system in dimension $d \geq 4$. A sufficient condition on the decay rate of the associated electric field is presented that guarantees the scattering and determination of the complete asymptotic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Stephen Pankavich