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We derive the general analytical expressions for the statistical uncertainties of cumulants up to fourth order including an efficiency correction. The analytical expressions have been tested with a toy Monte Carlo model analysis. An…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-03-25 Fan Si , Yifei Zhang

The work of Gantert, Kim, and Ramanan [Large deviations for random projections of $\ell^p$ balls, Ann. Probab. 45 (6B), 2017] has initiated and inspired a new direction of research in the asymptotic theory of geometric functional analysis.…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Joscha Prochno

We present a complete framework for determining the asymptotic (or logarithmic) efficiency of estimators of large deviation probabilities and rate functions based on importance sampling. The framework relies on the idea that importance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-26 Arnaud Guyader , Hugo Touchette

The theory of stochastic approximations form the theoretical foundation for studying convergence properties of many popular recursive learning algorithms in statistics, machine learning and statistical physics. Large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Henrik Hult , Adam Lindhe , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu

Macroscopic fluctuation theory has shown that a wide class of non-equilibrium stochastic dynamical systems obey a large deviation principle, but except for a few one-dimensional examples these large deviation principles are in general not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-02 Gino Del Ferraro , Erik Aurell

An analytical method is advanced for constructing interpolation formulae for complicated problems of statistical mechanics, in which just a few terms of asymptotic expansions are available. The method is based on the self-similar…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 V. I. Yukalov , S. Gluzman

We obtain new transport-entropy inequalities and, as a by-product, new deviation estimates for the laws of two kinds of discrete stochastic approximation schemes. The first one refers to the law of an Euler like discretization scheme of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Max Fathi , Noufel Frikha

We present a new method to extract anisotropic flow in heavy ion collisions from the genuine correlation among a large number of particles. Anisotropic flow is obtained from the zeroes in the complex plane of a generating function of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 R. S. Bhalerao , N. Borghini , J. -Y. Ollitrault

Using the theory of generalized hydrodynamics (GHD), we derive exact Euler-scale dynamical two-point correlation functions of conserved densities and currents in inhomogeneous, non-stationary states of many-body integrable systems with weak…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-11-28 Benjamin Doyon

The delta method is a popular and elementary tool for deriving limiting distributions of transformed statistics, while applications of asymptotic distributions do not allow one to obtain desirable accuracy of approximation for tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-19 Fuqing Gao , Xingqiu Zhao

We present a method for constructing global analytical expressions that approximate a function over its entire range. These approximations not only mirror the original function as accurately as desired, but are purposefully created to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-09 Aviv Orly

High-resolution rainfall observations are crucial for weather forecasting, water management, and hazard mitigation. Traditional operational measurements are often biased and low-resolution, limiting their ability to capture local rainfall.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

We give a new proof of the large deviation principle from the hydrodynamic limit for the Ginzberg-Landau model studied in Donsker and Varadhan (1989) using techniques from the theory of stochastic control and weak convergence methods. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Sayan Banerjee , Amarjit Budhiraja , Michael Perlmutter

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

The long-term dynamics of particles involved in an incompressible flow with a small viscosity ($\epsilon>0$) and slow chemical reactions, is depicted by a class of stochastic reaction-diffusion-advection (RDA) equations with a fast…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-17 Jianbo Cui , Derui Sheng

This work is devoted to the derivation and the matematical study of a new model for water-soluble polymers and metal ions interactions, which are used in chemistry for their wide range of applications. First, we motivate and derive a model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Erwan Hingant , Mauricio Sepúlveda

To increase the reliability of simulations by particle methods for incompressible viscous flow problems, convergence studies and improvements of accuracy are considered for a fully explicit particle method for incompressible Navier--Stokes…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Y. Imoto , S. Tsuzuki , D. Nishiura

We consider nonlinear filters for diffusion processes when the observation and signal noises are small and of the same order. As the noise intensities approach zero, the nonlinear filter can be approximated by a certain variational problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Anugu Sumith Reddy , Amarjit Budhiraja , Amit Apte

Rain precipitation prediction is a challenging task as it depends on weather and meteorological features which vary from location to location. As a result, a prediction model that performs well at one location does not perform well at other…