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Learning from a limited number of samples is challenging since the learned model can easily become overfitted based on the biased distribution formed by only a few training examples. In this paper, we calibrate the distribution of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Shuo Yang , Lu Liu , Min Xu

We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Arya Farahi , Jonah Rose , Paul Torrey

A simple test is proposed for examining the correctness of a given completely specified response function against unspecified general alternatives in the context of univariate regression. The usual diagnostic tools based on residuals plots…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-27 Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

Transfer learning is a useful technique for achieving improved performance and reducing training costs by leveraging the knowledge gained from source tasks and applying it to target tasks. Assessing the effectiveness of transfer learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Peizhong Ju , Sen Lin , Mark S. Squillante , Yingbin Liang , Ness B. Shroff

This paper develops asymptotic theory for estimation of parameters in regression models for binomial response time series where serial dependence is present through a latent process. Use of generalized linear model (GLM) estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

We consider identification, inference and validation of linear panel data models when both factors and factor loadings are accounted for by a nonparametric function. This general specification encompasses rather popular models such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-13 Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Stefan Sperlich

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Machine learning (ML) models often exhibit bias that can exacerbate inequities in biomedical applications. Fairness auditing, the process of evaluating a model's performance across subpopulations, is critical for identifying and mitigating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Jianhui Gao , Jessica Gronsbell

Anomaly localization in images -- identifying regions that deviate from normal patterns -- is vital in applications such as medical diagnosis and industrial inspection. A recent trend is the use of image generation models in anomaly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Teruyuki Katsuoka , Tomohiro Shiraishi , Daiki Miwa , Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

High-dimensional group inference is an essential part of statistical methods for analysing complex data sets, including hierarchical testing, tests of interaction, detection of heterogeneous treatment effects and inference for local…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Zijian Guo , Claude Renaux , Peter Bühlmann , T. Tony Cai

A flexible semiparametric class of models is introduced that offers an alternative to classical regression models for count data as the Poisson and negative binomial model, as well as to more general models accounting for excess zeros that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-30 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

In various applications of regression analysis, in addition to errors in the dependent observations also errors in the predictor variables play a substantial role and need to be incorporated in the statistical modeling process. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Katharina Proksch , Nicolai Bissantz , Hajo Holzmann

We study estimation and inference on causal parameters under finely stratified rerandomization designs, which use baseline covariates to match units into groups (e.g. matched pairs), then rerandomize within-group treatment assignments until…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Max Cytrynbaum

Generative models typically sample outputs independently, and recent inference-time guidance and scaling algorithms focus on improving the quality of individual samples. However, in real-world applications, users are often presented with a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Gaurav Parmar , Or Patashnik , Daniil Ostashev , Kuan-Chieh Wang , Kfir Aberman , Srinivasa Narasimhan , Jun-Yan Zhu

We consider the problem of inference in shift-share research designs. The choice between existing approaches that allow for unrestricted spatial correlation involves tradeoffs, varying in terms of their validity when there are relatively…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-03 Luis Alvarez , Bruno Ferman , Raoni Oliveira

Random feature methods have been successful in various machine learning tasks, are easy to compute, and come with theoretical accuracy bounds. They serve as an alternative approach to standard neural networks since they can represent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Abolfazl Hashemi , Hayden Schaeffer , Robert Shi , Ufuk Topcu , Giang Tran , Rachel Ward

Clustered sampling is prevalent in empirical regression discontinuity (RD) designs, but it has not received much attention in the theoretical literature. In this paper, we introduce a general model-based framework for such settings and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-20 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

We propose a roughness regularization approach in making nonparametric inference for generalized functional linear models. In a reproducing kernel Hilbert space framework, we construct asymptotically valid confidence intervals for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

The estimation of parameter standard errors for semi-variogram models is challenging, given the two-step process required to fit a parametric model to spatially correlated data. Motivated by an application in the social-epidemiology, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Julia Dyck , Odile Sauzet