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Efficient probability density estimation is a core challenge in statistical machine learning. Tensor-based probabilistic graph methods address interpretability and stability concerns encountered in neural network approaches. However, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Ruituo Wu , Jiani Liu , Ce Zhu , Anh-Huy Phan , Ivan V. Oseledets , Yipeng Liu

Predictions for physical systems often rely upon knowledge acquired from ensembles of entities, e.g., ensembles of cells in biological sciences. For qualitative and quantitative analysis, these ensembles are simulated with parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-28 Timothy Rumbell , Jaimit Parikh , James Kozloski , Viatcheslav Gurev

Non-autonomous differential equations are crucial for modeling systems influenced by external signals, yet fitting these models to data becomes particularly challenging when the signals change abruptly. To address this problem, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Hyeontae Jo , Krešimir Josić , Jae Kyoung Kim

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

Complex phenomena in engineering and the sciences are often modeled with computationally intensive feed-forward simulations for which a tractable analytic likelihood does not exist. In these cases, it is sometimes necessary to estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Niccolò Dalmasso , Ann B. Lee , Rafael Izbicki , Taylor Pospisil , Ilmun Kim , Chieh-An Lin

An effective modeling method for nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPSs) is critical for both physical system analysis and industrial engineering. In this Rapid Communication, we propose a novel DPS modeling approach, in which a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Hai-Tao Zhang , Chen-Kun Qi , Tao Zhou , Han-Xiong Li

Mixing (or prior) density estimation is an important problem in machine learning and statistics, especially in empirical Bayes $g$-modeling where accurately estimating the prior is necessary for making good posterior inferences. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Shijie Wang , Saptarshi Chakraborty , Qian Qin , Ray Bai

The firing dynamics of biological neurons in mathematical models is often determined by the model's parameters, representing the neurons' underlying properties. The parameter estimation problem seeks to recover those parameters of a single…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-05 Long Le , Yao Li

High-dimensional predictive models, those with more measurements than observations, require regularization to be well defined, perform well empirically, and possess theoretical guarantees. The amount of regularization, often determined by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-16 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

Neural networks appear to have mysterious generalization properties when using parameter counting as a proxy for complexity. Indeed, neural networks often have many more parameters than there are data points, yet still provide good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Wesley J. Maddox , Gregory Benton , Andrew Gordon Wilson

This paper describes how to specify probability models for data analysis via a backward induction procedure. The new approach yields coherent, prior-free uncertainty assessment. After presenting some intuition-building examples, the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 P. Richard Hahn

Approximate solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) obtained by neural networks are highly affected by hyper parameter settings. For instance, the model training strongly depends on loss function design, including the choice of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Hee Jun Yang , Alexander Heinlein , Hyea Hyun Kim

Dynamical models of cognition play an increasingly important role in driving theoretical and experimental research in psychology. Therefore, parameter estimation, model analysis and comparison of dynamical models are of essential…

This paper provides the relevant literature with a complete toolkit for conducting robust estimation and inference about the parameters of interest involved in a high-dimensional panel data framework. Specifically, (1) we allow for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-13 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

We introduce a pruning algorithm that provably sparsifies the parameters of a trained model in a way that approximately preserves the model's predictive accuracy. Our algorithm uses a small batch of input points to construct a data-informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Cenk Baykal , Lucas Liebenwein , Igor Gilitschenski , Dan Feldman , Daniela Rus

In the drug discovery process, where experiments can be costly and time-consuming, computational models that predict drug-target interactions are valuable tools to accelerate the development of new therapeutic agents. Estimating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Ola Engkvist , Lewis Mervin , Yves Moreau , Adam Arany

The predictive advantage of combining several different predictive models is widely accepted. Particularly in time series forecasting problems, this combination is often dynamic to cope with potential non-stationary sources of variation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares , Albert Bifet

We develop a data-driven machine learning approach to identifying parameters with steady-state solutions, locating such solutions, and determining their linear stability for systems of ordinary differential equations and dynamical systems…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Yimeng Zhang , Alexander Cloninger , Bo Li , Xiaochuan Tian

We introduce Neural Dynamical Systems (NDS), a method of learning dynamical models in various gray-box settings which incorporates prior knowledge in the form of systems of ordinary differential equations. NDS uses neural networks to…

Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska