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This paper is concerned with detecting the presence of out of sample predictability in linear predictive regressions with a potentially large set of candidate predictors. We propose a procedure based on out of sample MSE comparisons that is…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jesus Gonzalo , Jean-Yves Pitarakis

We study a novel outlier detection problem that aims to identify abnormal input-output associations in data, whose instances consist of multi-dimensional input (context) and output (responses) pairs. We present our approach that works by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Charmgil Hong , Siqi Liu , Milos Hauskrecht

In different fields of applications including, but not limited to, behavioral, environmental, medical sciences and econometrics, the use of panel data regression models has become increasingly popular as a general framework for making…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-15 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

This paper presents a methodology for early detection of audio events from audio streams. Early detection is the ability to infer an ongoing event during its initial stage. The proposed system consists of a novel inference step coupled with…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Huy Phan , Philipp Koch , Ian McLoughlin , Alfred Mertins

In a randomised clinical trial, when the result of the primary endpoint shows a significant benefit, the secondary endpoints are scrutinised to identify additional effects of the treatment. However, this approach entails a risk of…

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

Anomaly detection is the task of identifying examples that do not behave as expected. Because anomalies are rare and unexpected events, collecting real anomalous examples is often challenging in several applications. In addition, learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenzo Perini , Maja Rudolph , Sabrina Schmedding , Chen Qiu

In statistics and machine learning, the traditional meaning of the terms `outlier' and `anomaly' is a case in the dataset that behaves differently from the bulk of the data. This raises suspicion that it may belong to a different…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Mia Hubert , Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Long-term causal inference has drawn increasing attention in many scientific domains. Existing methods mainly focus on estimating average long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational data and short-term experimental data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Zeqin Yang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Outlier detection is a well-researched and crucial problem in machine learning. However, there is little research on string data outlier detection, as most literature focuses on outlier detection of numerical data. A robust string data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Philip Maus

This paper proposes a weakly-supervised machine learning-based approach aiming at a tool to alert patients about possible respiratory diseases. Various types of pathologies may affect the respiratory system, potentially leading to severe…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Michele Cozzatti , Federico Simonetta , Stavros Ntalampiras

This paper deals with the problem of outliers in high frequency observation data from diffusion processes. Robust estimation methods are needed because the inclusion of outliers can lead to incorrect statistical inference even in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yusuke Shimizu

The curse of outlier measurements in estimation problems is a well known issue in a variety of fields. Therefore, outlier removal procedures, which enables the identification of spurious measurements within a set, have been developed for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-02 Marco Compagnoni , Alessia Pini , Antonio Canclini , Paolo Bestagini , Fabio Antonacci , Stefano Tubaro , Augusto Sarti

Outlier detection plays an essential role in many data-driven applications to identify isolated instances that are different from the majority. While many statistical learning and data mining techniques have been used for developing more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-08 Ninghao Liu , Donghwa Shin , Xia Hu

Causal inference is crucial for understanding the true impact of interventions, policies, or actions, enabling informed decision-making and providing insights into the underlying mechanisms that shape our world. In this paper, we establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Jingyue Huang , Changbao Wu , Leilei Zeng

Longitudinal cohorts to determine the incidence of HIV infection are logistically challenging, so researchers have sought alternative strategies. Recency test methods use biomarker profiles of HIV-infected subjects in a cross-sectional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-13 Fei Gao , Marlena S. Bannick

This paper introduces a model of environmental acoustic scenes which adopts a morphological approach by ab-stracting temporal structures of acoustic scenes. To demonstrate its potential, this model is employed to evaluate the performance of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-03 Mathieu Lagrange , Grégoire Lafay , Mathias Rossignol , Emmanouil Benetos , Axel Roebel

This work describes an outlier detection procedure (named "OutlierTree") loosely based on the GritBot software developed by RuleQuest research, which works by evaluating and following supervised decision tree splits on variables, in whose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-06 David Cortes

An outlier is an event or observation that is defined as an unusual activity, intrusion, or a suspicious data point that lies at an irregular distance from a population. The definition of an outlier event, however, is subjective and depends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Md Nazmul Kabir Sikder , Feras A. Batarseh

Unsupervised outlier detection, which predicts if a test sample is an outlier or not using only the information from unlabelled inlier data, is an important but challenging task. Recently, methods based on the two-stage framework achieve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Zhisheng Xiao , Qing Yan , Yali Amit