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Discovering causal structures with latent variables from observational data is a fundamental challenge in causal discovery. Existing methods often rely on constraint-based, iterative discrete searches, limiting their scalability to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Parjanya Prashant , Ignavier Ng , Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

The concept of dynamical compensation has been recently introduced to describe the ability of a biological system to keep its output dynamics unchanged in the face of varying parameters. Here we show that, according to its original…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 Alejandro F. Villaverde , Julio R. Banga

The abrupt outbreak and transmission of biological diseases has always been a long-time concern of humankind. For long, mathematical modeling has served as a simple and yet efficient tool to investigate, predict, and control spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Aresh Dadlani , Richard O. Afolabi , Hyoyoung Jung , Khosrow Sohraby , Kiseon Kim

Structural parameter identifiability is a property of a differential model with parameters that allows for the parameters to be determined from the model equations in the absence of noise. One of the standard approaches to assessing this…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Peter Thompson

Traditional model-based diagnosis relies on constructing explicit system models, a process that can be laborious and expertise-demanding. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that combines concepts of model-based diagnosis with deep…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Jan Lukas Augustin , Oliver Niggemann

A vast amount of expert and domain knowledge is captured by causal structural priors, yet there has been little research on testing such priors for generalization and data synthesis purposes. We propose a novel model architecture, Causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Jeffrey Jiang , Omead Pooladzandi , Sunay Bhat , Gregory Pottie

Pattern formation in biological tissues plays an important role in the development of living organisms. Since the classical work of Alan Turing, a pre-eminent way of modelling has been through reaction-diffusion mechanisms. More recently,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Alexey Kazarnikov , Robert Scheichl , Heikki Haario , Anna Marciniak-Czochra

The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving ("adaptive") networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Assimakis A. Kattis , Alexander Holiday , Ana-Andreea Stoica , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Compartmental epidemic models have been widely used for predicting the course of epidemics, from estimating the basic reproduction number to guiding intervention policies. Studies commonly acknowledge these models' assumptions but less…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-23 Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Pratyush K. Kollepara , Yaneer Bar-Yam

In contemporary scientific research, understanding the distinction between correlation and causation is crucial. While correlation is a widely used analytical standard, it does not inherently imply causation. This paper addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Cao Zhihao , Qu Hongchun

Causal structure learning with data from multiple contexts carries both opportunities and challenges. Opportunities arise from considering shared and context-specific causal graphs enabling to generalize and transfer causal knowledge across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Martin Rabel , Wiebke Günther , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus

Distinguishability and, by extension, observability are key properties of dynamical systems. Establishing these properties is challenging, especially when no analytical model is available and they are to be inferred directly from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-10 Pierre-François Massiani , Mona Buisson-Fenet , Friedrich Solowjow , Florent Di Meglio , Sebastian Trimpe

Statistical and structural modeling represent two distinct approaches to data analysis. In this paper, we propose a set of novel methods for combining statistical and structural models for improved prediction and causal inference. Our first…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-11 Jiaming Mao , Jingzhi Xu

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

Assessing the practical identifiability of epidemic models is essential for determining whether parameters can be meaningfully estimated from observed data. Monte Carlo (MC) methods provide an accessible and intuitive framework; however,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Chiara Mattamira , Olivia Prosper Feldman

The correct identification of clusters is crucial for an accurate monitoring of the spread of a disease and also in many other natural, social and physical phenomena which exhibit an epidemic structure. Nevertheless, even when an accurate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-12 Eugenio Lippiello , Polytzois Bountzis

Compartmental models are valuable tools for investigating infectious diseases. Researchers building such models typically begin with a simple structure where compartments correspond to individuals with different epidemiological statuses,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-21 Darren Flynn-Primrose , Steven C. Walker , Michael Li , Benjamin M. Bolker , David J. D. Earn , Jonathan Dushoff

We consider linear structural equation models that are associated with mixed graphs. The structural equations in these models only involve observed variables, but their idiosyncratic error terms are allowed to be correlated and…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-10 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu