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With the advent of continuous health monitoring with wearable devices, users now generate their unique streams of continuous data such as minute-level step counts or heartbeats. Summarizing these streams via scalar summaries often ignores…

This paper introduces a new framework for multivariate quantile regression based on the multivariate distribution function, termed multivariate quantile regression (MQR). In contrast to existing approaches--such as directional quantiles,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-01 Antonio F. Galvao , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

Functional data such as curves and surfaces have become more and more common with modern technological advancements. The use of functional predictors remains challenging due to its inherent infinite-dimensionality. The common practice is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Dengdeng Yu , Matthew Pietrosanu , Ivan Mizera , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong , Wei Tu

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim

In this paper, we develop a new and effective approach to nonparametric quantile regression that accommodates ultrahigh-dimensional data arising from spatio-temporal processes. This approach proves advantageous in staving off computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Soudeep Deb , Claudia Neves , Subhrajyoty Roy

This paper develops a nonparametric density estimator with parametric overtones. Suppose $f(x,\theta)$ is some family of densities, indexed by a vector of parameters $\theta$. We define a local kernel smoothed likelihood function which for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Nils Lid Hjort , M. C. Jones

Regression models that go beyond the mean, alongside coherent risk measures, have been important tools in modern data analysis. This paper introduces the innovative concept of Average Quantile Regression (AQR), which is smooth at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Rong Jiang , M. C. Jones , Keming Yu , Jiangfeng Wang

Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for reinforcement learning (RL) in high-stakes settings. We propose a unified conformal prediction framework for infinite-horizon policy evaluation that constructs distribution-free prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Feichen Gan , Youcun Lu , Yingying Zhang , Yukun Liu

Density estimation is a fundamental task in statistics and machine learning applications. Kernel density estimation is a powerful tool for non-parametric density estimation in low dimensions; however, its performance is poor in higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Joseph A. Gallego , Fabio A. González

We construct a family of estimators for a regression function based on a sample following a qdistribution. Our approach is nonparametric, using kernel methods built from operations that leverage the properties of q-calculus. Furthermore,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Emmanuel De Dieu Nkou , Fridolin Melong

Online forecasting under a changing environment has been a problem of increasing importance in many real-world applications. In this paper, we consider the meta-algorithm presented in \citet{zhang2017dynamic} combined with different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-16 Anant Raj , Pierre Gaillard , Christophe Saad

Joint chance-constrained optimal power flow (JCC-OPF) is a promising tool to manage uncertainties from distributed renewable generation. However, most existing works are based on power flow equations, which require accurate network…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Ge Chen , Hongcai Zhang , Hongxun Hui , Yonghua Song

Multimodal regression estimation methods are introduced for regression models involving circular response and/or covariate. The regression estimators are based on the maximization of the conditional densities of the response variable over…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 María Alonso-Pena , Rosa M. Crujeiras

In this paper, we study a novel approach for the estimation of quantiles when facing potential right censoring of the responses. Contrary to the existing literature on the subject, the adopted strategy of this paper is to tackle censoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Mickaël De Backer , Anouar El Ghouch , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Continuous value prediction plays a crucial role in industrial-scale recommendation systems, including tasks such as predicting users' watch-time and estimating the gross merchandise value (GMV) in e-commerce transactions. However, it…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Runpeng Cui , Zhipeng Sun , Chi Lu , Peng Jiang

We propose a new weighted average estimator for the high dimensional parameters under the distributed learning system, in which the weight assigned to each coordinate is precisely proportional to the inverse of the variance of the local…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Jun Lu , Xiaoyu Mao , Mengyao Li , Chenping Hou

In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li

This paper provides new uniform rate results for kernel estimators of absolutely regular stationary processes that are uniform in the bandwidth and in infinite-dimensional classes of dependent variables and regressors. Our results are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-21 Juan Carlos Escanciano

This study introduces a novel nonparametric approach for detecting Differential Item Functioning (DIF) in binary items through direct comparison of Item Response Curves (IRCs). Building on prior work on nonparametric comparison of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Adéla Hladká , Patrícia Martinková

Standard conformal prediction methods guarantee marginal coverage but often produce inefficient intervals that fail to adapt to local heteroscedasticity, while recent localized approaches often struggle to maintain validity across distinct…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Yuan Lu