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Related papers: Tail bounds for the O'Connell-Yor polymer

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An explicit upper bound on the tail probabilities for the normalized Rademacher sums is given. This bound, which is best possible in a certain sense, is asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding tail probability of the standard normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We prove upper bounds on the transition probabilities of random walks with i.i.d. random conductances with a polynomial lower tail near $0$. We consider both constant and variable speed models. Our estimates are sharp. As a consequence, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-30 Omar Boukhadra , Takashi Kumagai , Pierre Mathieu

We give upper and lower asymptotic bounds for the left tail and for the right tail of the continuous limiting QuickSort density f that are nearly matching in each tail. The bounds strengthen results from a paper of Svante Janson (2015)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 James Allen Fill , Wei-Chun Hung

Employing the framework of regular variation, we propose two decompositions which help to summarize and describel high-dimensional tail dependence. Via transformation, we define a vector space on the positive orthant, yielding the notion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-27 Daniel Cooley , Emeric Thibaud

We derive in this short report the exponential as well as power decreasing tail estimations for the sums of centered exchangeable random variables, alike ones for the sums of the centered independent ones.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We define the log-gamma sheet and the log-gamma landscape in terms of the 2-parameter and 4-parameter free energy of the log-gamma polymer model and prove that they converge to the Airy sheet and the directed landscape, which are central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Xinyi Zhang

The upper tail problem in a random graph asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph in an Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph exceeds its expectation by some constant factor. There has been much exciting…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Yang P. Liu , Yufei Zhao

We consider the problem of deriving upper bounds on the parameters of sum-rank-metric codes, with focus on their dimension and block length. The sum-rank metric is a combination of the Hamming and the rank metric, and most of the available…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-10-30 Aida Abiad , Antonina P. Khramova , Alberto Ravagnani

Let $N$ be the number of triangles in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices with edge density $p=d/n,$ where $d>0$ is a fixed constant. It is well known that $N$ weakly converges to the Poisson distribution with mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Shirshendu Ganguly , Ella Hiesmayr , Kyeongsik Nam

We establish Hoeffding-type concentration inequalities for the low and high tail bounds of sums of exchangeable random variables. Our results exhibit an anti-symmetry in such tail bounds due to the assumption of exchangeability, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Nina Maria Gottschling , Michele Caprio

A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Qi-Man Shao , Mengchen Zhang , Zhuo-Song Zhang

We show that the tail probability of the rough line integral $\int_{0}^{1}\phi(X_{t})dY_{t}$, where $(X,Y)$ is a 2D fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/4,1/2)$ and $\phi$ is a $C_{b}^{\infty}$-function satisfying a mild…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Horatio Boedihardjo , Xi Geng

We establish exponential inequalities and Cramer-type moderate deviation theorems for a class of V-statistics under strong mixing conditions. Our theory is developed via kernel expansion based on random Fourier features. This type of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Yandi Shen , Fang Han , Daniela Witten

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

For the basic case of $L_2$ optimal transport between two probability measures on a Euclidean space, the regularity of the coupling measure and the transport map in the tail regions of these measures is studied. For this purpose, Robert…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-06 Cees de Valk , Johan Segers

We introduce the sum-rank metric analogue of Reed--Muller codes, which we called linearized Reed--Muller codes, using multivariate Ore polynomials. We study the parameters of these codes, compute their dimension and give a lower bound for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Elena Berardini , Xavier Caruso

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

We study tail probabilities via some Gaussian approximations. Our results make refinements to large deviation theory. The proof builds on classical results by Bahadur and Rao. Binomial distributions and their tail probabilities are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Laszlo Gyorfi , Peter Harremoes , Gabor Tusnady

For stationary interface growth, governed by the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation in 1 + 1 dimensions, typical fluctuations of the interface height at long times are described by the Baik-Rains distribution. Recently Chhita et al. [1]…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-22 Baruch Meerson , Johannes Schmidt

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Even He