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Related papers: Tail bounds for the O'Connell-Yor polymer

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In this paper, I present a completely new type of upper and lower bounds on the right-tail probabilities of continuous random variables with unbounded support and with semi-bounded support from the left. The presented upper and lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Nikola Zlatanov

The paper suggests a simple method of deriving minimax lower bounds to the accuracy of statistical inference on heavy tails. A well-known result by Hall and Welsh (Ann. Statist. 12 (1984) 1079-1084) states that if $\hat{\alpha}_n$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-14 S. Y. Novak

This paper presents new probability inequalities for sums of independent, random, self-adjoint matrices. These results place simple and easily verifiable hypotheses on the summands, and they deliver strong conclusions about the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Joel A. Tropp

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

We establish the first tight bound on the lower tail probability of the half-space KPZ equation with Neumann boundary parameter $A = -1/2$ and narrow-wedge initial data. When the tail depth is of order $T^{2/3}$, the lower bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Yujin H. Kim

Directed last passage percolation models on the plane, where one studies the weight as well as the geometry of optimizing paths (called polymers) in a field of i.i.d. weights, are paradigm examples of models in the KPZ universality class.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Allan Sly

We prove the first eigenvalue repulsion bound for sparse random matrices. As a consequence, we show that these matrices have simple spectrum, improving the range of sparsity and error probability from the work of the second author and Vu.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Patrick Lopatto , Kyle Luh

We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

Let $P$ be a polynomial of degree $d$ in independent Bernoulli random variables which has zero mean and unit variance. The Bonami hypercontractivity bound implies that the probability that $|P| > t$ decays exponentially in $t^{2/d}$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Bo'az Klartag , Sasha Sodin

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

This paper describes the construction of a lower bound for the tails of general random variables, using solely knowledge of their moment generating function. The tilting procedure used allows for the construction of lower bounds that are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ted Theodosopoulos

We derive two-sided bounds for moments and tails of random quadratic forms (random chaoses of order $2$), generated by independent symmetric random variables such that $\lVert X \rVert_{2p} \leq \alpha \lVert X \rVert_p$ for any $p\geq 1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Rafał Meller

In our recent research endeavors, we have delved into the realm of tail bounds problems concerning bivariate random tensor means. In this context, tensors are treated as finite-dimensional operators. However, the longstanding challenge of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Shih-Yu Chang

Let $\Delta(d,n)$ denote the maximum diameter of a $d$-dimensional polyhedron with $n$ facets. In this paper, we propose a unified analysis of a recursive inequality about $\Delta(d,n)$ established by Kalai and Kleitman in 1992. This yields…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Shinji Mizuno , Noriyoshi Sukegawa

Let $X$ be an $n\times n$ symmetric random matrix with independent but non-identically distributed entries. The deviation inequalities of the spectral norm of $X$ with Gaussian entries have been obtained by using the standard concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Guozheng Dai , Zhonggen Su , Hanchao Wang

For r \ge 2, let X be the number of r-armed stars K_{1,r} in the binomial random graph G_{n,p}. We study the upper tail \Pr(X \ge (1+\epsilon)\E X), and establish exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Matas Šileikis , Lutz Warnke

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

To consider a high-dimensional random process, we propose a notion about stochastic tensor-valued random process (TRP). In this work, we first attempt to apply a generic chaining method to derive tail bounds for all p-th moments of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Shih-Yu Chang

We establish a rather sharp two-side estimate for the tail probability of the derivative martingale limit in a branching random walk throughout the entire subcritical regime, confirming a conjecture by Lacoin, Rhodes, and Vargas (\emph{Duke…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Xinxin Chen , Yichao Huang , Heng Ma