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We study inference for censored survival data where some covariates are distorted by some unknown functions of an observable confounding variable in a multiplicative form. Example of this kind of data in medical studies is the common…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-03 Yanyan Liu , Yuanshan Wu , Jing Zhang , Haibo Zhou

Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Dongjoon Lee , Hyeryn Park , Changhee Lee

Random survival forest and survival trees are popular models in statistics and machine learning. However, there is a lack of general understanding regarding consistency, splitting rules and influence of the censoring mechanism. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Mai Zhou , Michael Kosorok

Survival data with time-varying covariates are common in practice. If relevant, they can improve on the estimation of survival function. However, the traditional survival forests - conditional inference forest, relative risk forest and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-06 Weichi Yao , Halina Frydman , Denis Larocque , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Survival prediction often involves estimating the time-to-event distribution from censored datasets. Previous approaches have focused on enhancing discrimination and marginal calibration. In this paper, we highlight the significance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

We study the variable selection problem in survival analysis to identify the most important factors affecting survival time. Our method incorporates prior knowledge of mutual correlations among variables, represented through a graph. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Liyan Xie , Xi He , Pinar Keskinocak , Yao Xie

We propose a unified framework for likelihood-based regression modeling when the response variable has finite support. Our work is motivated by the fact that, in practice, observed data are discrete and bounded. The proposed methods assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Evolutionary strategies have recently been shown to achieve competing levels of performance for complex optimization problems in reinforcement learning. In such problems, one often needs to optimize an objective function subject to a set of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Youssef Diouane , Aurelien Lucchi , Vihang Patil

A new method for combining several initial estimators of the regression function is introduced. Instead of building a linear or convex optimized combination over a collection of basic estimators $r_1,\dots,r_M$, we use them as a collective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Gérard Biau , Aurélie Fischer , Benjamin Guedj , James Malley

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

Many ensemble-based models have been proposed to solve machine learning problems in the survival analysis framework, including random survival forests, the gradient boosting machine with weak survival models, ensembles of the Cox models. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Lev V. Utkin , Semen P. Khomets , Vlada A. Efremenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov

Survival analysis often relies on Cox models, assuming both linearity and proportional hazards (PH). This study evaluates machine and deep learning methods that relax these constraints, comparing their performance with penalized Cox models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ivan Rossi , Flavio Sartori , Cesare Rollo , Giovanni Birolo , Piero Fariselli , Tiziana Sanavia

In heterogeneous cohorts and those where censoring by non-primary risks is informative many conventional survival analysis methods are not applicable; the proportional hazards assumption is usually violated at population level and the…

Traditional statistical and machine learning methods typically assume that the training and test data follow the same distribution. However, this assumption is frequently violated in real-world applications, where the training data in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Hanxuan Ye , Hongzhe Li

Survival analysis/time-to-event models are extremely useful as they can help companies predict when a customer will buy a product, churn or default on a loan, and therefore help them improve their ROI. In this paper, we introduce a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-18 Stephane Fotso

Survival time prediction from medical images is important for treatment planning, where accurate estimations can improve healthcare quality. One issue affecting the training of survival models is censored data. Most of the current survival…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Renato Hermoza , Gabriel Maicas , Jacinto C. Nascimento , Gustavo Carneiro

A comprehensive, unified approach to modeling arbitrarily censored spatial survival data is presented for the three most commonly-used semiparametric models: proportional hazards, proportional odds, and accelerated failure time. Unlike many…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-04 Haiming Zhou , Timothy Hanson

Ball bearings find widespread use in various manufacturing and mechanical domains, and methods based on machine learning have been widely adopted in the field to monitor wear and spot defects before they lead to failures. Few studies,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-15 Christian Marius Lillelund , Fernando Pannullo , Morten Opprud Jakobsen , Christian Fischer Pedersen

Survival analysis is a crucial semi-supervised task in machine learning with numerous real-world applications, particularly in healthcare. Currently, the most common approach to survival analysis is based on Cox's partial likelihood, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Andre Vauvelle , Benjamin Wild , Aylin Cakiroglu , Roland Eils , Spiros Denaxas